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Top NBA DFS Plays & Pick'Em Picks 10/31 | No Tricks on Thursday's Four-Game Halloween Slate! šŸ‘»

Top DFS Plays & Pick 'Ems for Wednesday's NBA Action!

Written By: Ryan Humphries on Twitter & LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries

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DFS Main Slate Rundown šŸ“°

Happy Halloween! Thursday will provide us with a short four-game slate and, while it doesnā€™t mean it wonā€™t happen, no blowouts are expected with the largest spread of the night set at 6.5 points. Weā€™ll have some additional time to get our lineups in order as well with the first game not tipping off until 8:00 ET. All treats, no tricks tonight! Best of luck!

 

Todayā€™s Key Injuries

Note: Players who have not appeared in a game yet this season will be excluded from this list.

  • Bucks: G. Antetokounmpo - Probable

  • Grizzlies: D. Bane - OUT, M. Smart - OUT

  • Rockets: S. Adams - Questionable

  • Mavericks: M. Kleber - OUT

  • Spurs: T. Jones - OUT

  • Jazz: L. Markkanen - Questionable, T. Hendricks - OUT

  • Suns: B. Beal - Questionable

  • Clippers: None

Main Slate Match-Ups w/ Game Totals & Point Spreads

Top DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Plays

Note: NBA position designations are never going to perfectly align between the major DFS sites. For the purposes of these newsletters, positional designations will default to DraftKings.

Point Guards/Shooting Guards to Consider šŸ€

PG James Harden, LAC | DK: $9.1k, FD: $9.4k | vs. PHX

It has steadily been the James Harden show to begin the season while Kawhi Leonard (knee) still seems weeks away from making his season debut. Harden is averaging a points (23.5)/assists (11.3) double-double while rocking a 34.0% USG%, which is just 0.6% below the usage rate of Luka Doncic. The Clippers are on the second leg of a back-to-back but Harden didnā€™t log massive minutes last night (32) in the one-point loss to the Trailblazers. No real match-up concerns as Harden has already gone for 56.5 DKFP/50.4 FDFP against the Suns in the season opener, albeit in an overtime game playing 40 minutes. Nonetheless, heā€™s a clear spend-up guard play on this eveningā€™s small slate.

 

PG/SG Kyrie Irving, DAL | DK: $7.5k, FD: $8.1k | vs. HOU

The prices on Irving still feel too cheap even though heā€™s sharing the lionā€™s share of the team usage with Luka Doncic. As a reminder, Irving was often priced as an upper-$8k/low-$9k player last season even when Luka wasnā€™t sidelined. Also, adding Klay Thompson to the mix doesnā€™t seem to be hurting Irvingā€™s upside and, if anything, it has added more spacing on the floor for Irving to put up more uncontested shots. Heā€™s firing a white-hot 53.8% from three-point range, averaging 23.8 PPG overall, and posting quality peripherals -- 5.3 APG, 3.8 RPG, and 2.3 STL+BLK/gm. Heā€™s simply a strong all-around play until his salaries catch up to his on-court production.

 

SG Jordan Clarkson, UTA | DK: $5.2k, FD: $5.9k | vs. SAS

Jordan Clarkson received his first start of the season on Tuesday while Collin Sexton was sent to the bench. In response, Clarkson posted a season-high 21 points while corraling five rebounds and dishing three assists in 26 minutes. I would love to see Clarkson hit the 30-minute threshold, but at these current salaries, there is enough meat left on the bone for value even if he continues to play around 25-28 minutes. To no major surprise, with Victor Wembanyama being the elite rim protector that he is, the Spurs are allowing an NBA-low 29.0 points in the paint per game. On the flipside, 39.8% of the Spursā€™ opponentā€™s points are coming from three-pointers -- thatā€™s the 4th highest percentage in the NBA. Clarkson has not been very efficient from beyond the arc yet this season (22.7% 3P%), but we know heā€™s not afraid to let it fly from deep. Assuming he remains in the starting lineup, Clarkson is an appealing value guard option this evening.

 

Other Guards to Consider

PG Luka Doncic, DAL vs. HOU

PG Damian Lillard, MIL at MEM

SG Jalen Green, HOU at DAL

PG Fred VanVleet, HOU at DAL

PG Scotty Pippen Jr., MEM vs. MIL

PG Keyonte George, UTA vs. SAS

PG Tyus Jones, PHX at LAC

PG/SF John Konchar, MEM vs. MIL (Preferred if starting)

Small Forwards/Power Forwards to Consider šŸ€

PF Kevin Durant, PHX | DK: $8.6k, FD: $9.2k | at LAC

KD is still doing KD things in his age-36 season. Iā€™m not sure if he can continue to handle his current 40.0 Min/gm average but the Suns will have him out on the court for as many minutes as he tells them he can handle. Through four games, Durant is averaging 29.0 PPG on a 28.9% USG% while sinking 45.5% of his threes, hauling in 7.0 RPG, dishing 3.0 APG, and producing 2.8 STL+BLK/gm. He still has a 60+ FP ceiling in the tank and the floor is generally going to be around 40 FP, so we can feel good about taking him at these price points tonight. The usage will only increase if Bradley Beal (elbow/questionable) is out or limited.

 

SF/SG Norman Powell, LAC | DK: $5.6k, FD: $5.9k | vs. PHX

All of those James Harden assists have to come from somewhere and many are cashing in on shots from Norman Powell, who leads the Clippers with 26.0 PPG. Until Kawhi Leonard returns, Powell is pretty firmly locked into this current role, and getting a guy under $6k who is averaging 18.5 FGA/gm is generally tough to come by. Powell doesnā€™t offer much in the way of peripheral stats but heā€™s been efficient shooting from all areas of the court this season so weā€™ll expect the scoring to keep on rolling tonight. Powell is more of a shooting guard but carries SF eligibility on both sites.

 

SF/PF Amir Coffey, LAC | DK: $3.1k, FD: $3.8k | vs. PHX

If youā€™re in need of a total punt for a ā€œstars and scrubsā€ build, Amir Coffey may fit the bill. Heā€™s averaging 24.0 Min/gm this season and, with the Clips being on the B2B, he should continue to see mid-20s minutes tonight. Coffey is not a high FPPM player whatsoever, and heā€™s at just 0.52 FPPM this season. That said, he is making the most of his limited shot attempts, shooting 58.3% from 2PT and 44.4% from 3PT. If he can continue to be an efficient shooter while seeing a few rebounds bounce his way or an uptick in some other peripheral stat, then he should be a worthwhile bottom-of-the-barrel play this evening.

 

Other Forwards to Consider

PF/C Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL at MEM

PF/C Jaren Jackson Jr., MEM vs. MIL

PF Jeremy Sochan, SAS at UTA

PF Santi Aldama, MEM vs. MIL (Preferred if starting)

PF/C John Collins, UTA vs. SAS (Boost if L. Markkanen is out)

PF PJ Washington, DAL vs. HOU

PF Jake LaRavia, MEM vs. MIL

SF/PF Derrick Jones Jr., LAC vs. PHX

SF/PF Naji Marshall, DAL vs. HOU

Centers to Consider šŸ€

C Victor Wembanyama, SAS | DK: $10.4k, FD: $11k | at UTA

In response to some lackluster results over the Spursā€™ first four games of the season, many seem to be down on Wemby at the moment. But thatā€™s putting a lot of stock in a small sample size. And, when a guy has the capability of putting up 80+ FP, you shouldnā€™t completely ignore them. This is also probably the best match-up that Wemby has seen this season. The Jazz are 9th in pace, 26th in DEFRTG, a middling rebounding team, theyā€™re allowing 7.1 blocks/gm (2nd most), and theyā€™ve allowed the 3rd most points in the paint per game (54.5). Look for Wemby to bounce back after the awful game last night.

 

C Dereck Lively II, DAL | DK: $5.1k, FD: $5.6k | vs. HOU

Lively is blocked out of the starting center job by Daniel Gafford, but the Mavs prefer him off of the bench anyhow and typically give him 26-28 minutes. It generally works out better for Lively as well since he handles some run without mega-high-usage players like Luka and Kyrie on the floor at times. Lively is averaging a quality 1.17 FPPM this season and the Rockets rank 29th versus reserve centers, so weā€™ll have no issues with the match-up.

 

Other Centers to Consider

C Alperen Sengun, HOU at DAL

C Ivica Zubac, LAC vs. PHX

C Brook Lopez, MIL at MEM

C Daniel Gafford, DAL vs. HOU

PrizePicks NBA Power Play of the Day āš”

Here is a two-pick ā€œPower Playā€ Iā€™m liking for today's NBA action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these bets so I don't just lightly throw these out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Norman Powell MORE than 26.5 Fantasy Score

Jeremy Sochan MORE than 23.5 Points + Rebounds

 

šŸ”„ Props AI šŸ”„

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Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing up for PrizePicks (Promo code: LINESTAR) or Underdog (Promo code: LINESTAR). You'll receive a 100% match on first deposits up to $100 PLUS a free month subscription to LineStar Premium. Many people may not realize that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) ā€“ itā€™s called Pick'Em, and itā€™s incredibly easy.

That will wrap us up with todayā€™s ā€œDaily Dribbleā€ edition! Once again, you can find me on Twitter or in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck everyone!