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- Top NBA DFS Plays & Pick'Em Picks 11/18 | Anticipating Some High-Scoring Action!
Top NBA DFS Plays & Pick'Em Picks 11/18 | Anticipating Some High-Scoring Action!
Top DFS Plays & Pick 'Ems for Today's NBA Action!
Written By: Ryan Humphries on Twitter & LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries
Pick’Em Prop Offers 11/18/24 💸
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DFS Main Slate Rundown 📰
We’re set up with eight games on the Monday docket! DraftKings will exclude the two late 10 o’clock ET tip-offs from their main slate and, as usual, FanDuel will have the whole menu. There are several 230+ point totals on this slate so we should have a fairly high-scoring night in front of us. Let’s get right to it! Best of luck!
Today’s Key Injuries
Bulls: P. Williams - Probable, L. Ball - OUT
Pistons: J. Ivey - Probable, T. Hardaway Jr. - Probable
Pacers: M. Turner - Questionable, A. Nembhard - OUT, B. Sheppard - OUT, A. Nesmith - OUT
Raptors: S. Barnes - OUT, I. Quickley - OUT, B. Fernando - OUT, J. Walter - OUT
76ers: J. Embiid - Doubtful, T. Maxey - OUT
Heat: T. Rozier - OUT, J. Jaquez Jr. - OUT
Wizards: B. Coulibaly - Questionable
Knicks: M. McBride - OUT
Rockets: S. Adams - Questionable
Bucks: G. Antetokounmpo - Probable, D. Lillard - Probable, R. Rollins - OUT
Magic: P. Banchero - OUT, W. Carter Jr. - Doubtful
Suns: K. Durant - OUT, B. Beal - OUT, J. Nurkic - OUT
Late Game Injury Report (FanDuel Main Slate Only)
Hawks: B. Bogdanovic - OUT, D. Hunter - Questionable
Kings: D. Sabonis - Doubtful, D. DeRozan - OUT, M. Monk - OUT
Warriors: S. Curry - Questionable, D. Melton - OUT, K. Looney - OUT, L. Waters III - Questionable
Clippers: M. Bamba - Questionable
Main Slate Match-Ups w/ Game Totals & Point Spreads
Top DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Plays
Note: NBA position designations are never going to perfectly align between the major DFS sites. For the purposes of these newsletters, positional designations will default to DraftKings.
Point Guards/Shooting Guards to Consider 🏀
PG Cade Cunningham, DET | DK: $9.3k, FD: $9.4k | vs. CHI
Cunningham continued his high level of play against the Wizards last night where he poured in a 21/10/10 triple-double with five steals and a block in just 31 minutes. He now has four triple-doubles in his last eight games and is averaging nearly 1.50 FPPM in that span. Next on deck is a positive match-up versus the Bulls who are the fastest-paced team in the NBA. Chicago also checks in at a poor 25th in DEFRTG and has ranked dead last versus starting PGs (via LineStar Team DEF tool).
PG Fred VanVleet, HOU | DK: $6.8k, FD: $7.1k | at MIL
We knew it was only a matter of time before VanVleet turned up the production and he now has back-to-back performances of at least 48.25 DKFP/45.4 FDFP. He’s still checking in at a modest 10% pOwn% (DK)/6% pOwn% (FD) so he shouldn’t be overly popular on this slate. It’s not a bad match-up as the Rockets are +4.5 road underdogs and the Bucks have ranked at a subpar 21st versus starting PGs. As long as he continues to improve his three-point shooting (31.5% 3P% on 7.1 3PA/gm this season versus 37.4% 3P% for his career), then he’ll often pop for those 45+ FP games.
PG/SG Jared McCain, PHI | DK: $5.8k, FD: $6.1k | at MIA
Rookie Jared McCain will be one of the highest-owned players on the slate but he’s been one of the few bright spots for this 2-10 76ers team. Tyrese Maxey (hamstring/out) is still a little ways away from making his return and now Joel Embiid (illness/doubtful) isn’t looking likely to suit up tonight. That should make McCain a top-two scoring option, alongside Paul George. McCain posted a massive 37.7% USG% in his first start of the season last Wednesday (no Embiid, Maxey, or George that game) and then followed it up with a rock-solid 27.8% USG% on Friday -- worth noting, both Embiid and George were playing that game but Maxey was, of course, still sidelined. Per the Team DEF tool, the Heat are 21st versus starting SGs this season and they’re coming in on the back end of a back-to-back while the 76ers should be fresh on three days rest. Even without Embiid and Maxey, this is a winnable game as the 76ers are only three-point underdogs, but they’ll need another big game out of McCain to pull off the slight upset.
Other Guards to Consider
PG Tyrese Haliburton, IND at TOR
PG/SG Tyler Herro, MIA vs. PHI
SG/SF Zach LaVine, CHI at DET
SG/SF Mikal Bridges, NYK vs. WAS
SG/SF Bennedict Mathurin, IND at TOR
PG/SG Jaden Ivey, DET vs. CHI
SG/SF Amen Thompson, HOU at MIL
PG TJ McConnel, IND at TOR
SG Duncan Robinson, MIA vs. PHI
SG Grayson Allen, PHX vs. ORL
FanDuel Main Slate Only
PG De’Aaron Fox, SAC vs. ATL
PG Steph Curry, GSW at LAC (Currently questionable)
SG/SF Kevin Huerter, SAC vs. ATL
PG/SG Buddy Hield, GSW at LAC (Preferred if Curry is out)
Small Forwards/Power Forwards to Consider 🏀
PF/C Pascal Siakam, IND | DK: $7.2k, FD: $7.3k | at TOR
Siakam hasn’t been consistently strong from a DFS perspective lately, but we know he can pop off for the occasional 50+ FP and, at these low-$7k price points, he should be a reliable option in this match-up tonight as the Raptors are 21st versus starting power forwards this season. Siakam is also shooting an excellent 46.7% from three-point range and he has also been better on the road this season where he has averaged 1.18 FPPM (versus 0.96 FPPM at home). Siakam’s floor and ceiling could also rise if Myles Turner (calf/questionable) is ruled out. In 83 minutes with Turner, along with the other injured Pacers, off the court this season, Siakam has seen a +7.1 fantasy point per 32-minute boost along with a slight usage bump. Siakam could also have a little extra motivation tonight as he returns to his old stomping grounds in Toronto, where he spent the first nine years of his NBA career.
SF/PF Jarace Walker, IND | DK: $4.3k, FD: $4.6k | at TOR
We’ll stay on the Pacers and put a spotlight on an affordable Jarace Walker, who could be in line to make his first start of the season. The Pacers are a bit shorthanded at the moment due to injuries so, even if he isn’t starting, Walker should receive solid minutes off of the bench tonight… but, of course, we’ll like him much better if he does indeed start. Walker has averaged just over a fantasy point per minute this season and the Pacers have one of the highest projected totals (118.5) on the slate versus this Raptors team that is 28th in DEFRTG.
PF Nikola Jovic, MIA | DK: $3.7k, FD $4.9k | vs. PHI
Due to pricing discrepancies, Jovic profiles as a much better value on DraftKings where he is just $3,700. Jovic started the first eight games of the season but has since been moved to a bench role. Jovic’s new role with the second unit seems to be working out as he has posted at least 22.5 DKFP in three of his four games off of the bench, and he played at least 30 minutes in his last two games. So, if you need a cheap forward with plenty of 6x potential (on DraftKings), keep Jovic on the radar.
Other Forwards to Consider
PF/C Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL vs. HOU
SF/PF RJ Barrett, TOR vs. IND
SF/PF Paul George, PHI at MIA
SF/PF Josh Hart, NYK vs. WAS
SF/PF OG Anunoby, NYK vs. WAS
SF/PF Tari Eason, HOU at MIL
SF/PF Taurean Prince, MIL vs. HOU
SF Dillon Brooks, HOU at MIL
PF/C Obi Toppin, IND at TOR (Preferred if M. Turner is out)
SF/PF Simone Fontecchio, DET vs. CHI (DK Preferred punt play)
FanDuel Main Slate Only
SF/PF Keegan Murray, SAC vs. ATL
PF/C Trey Lyles, SAC vs. ATL
PF/C Trayce Jackson-Davis, GSW at LAC
Centers to Consider 🏀
C Karl-Anthony Towns, NYK | DK: $9k, FD: $9.2k | vs. WAS
KAT continues to put up some monster numbers and, unlike the rest of his fellow starting teammates, he didn’t log massive minutes last night (30 minutes played) so the back-to-back factor shouldn’t be a major concern. KAT has put up at least 51.75 DKFP/49.6 FDFP in seven of his last nine games and he is sinking 50% of his three-pointers this season while bringing in 12.4 rebounds per game. The match-up also doesn’t get much better as the Wizards are 2nd in pace, dead last in DEFRTG, and rank 29th versus starting centers. Towns is going to be major chalk tonight but the simple fact is that he just isn’t priced where he needs to be (should be $10k by now) and he is in a smash spot at home.
C Mason Plumlee, PHX | DK: $4.8k, FD: $4.2k | vs. ORL
Jusuf Nurkic (ankle/out) will be missing his second game of the season so the Suns, who are already without Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal, will be handing Mason Plumlee another start. Plumlee actually started alongside Nurkic yesterday but struggled a bit in his 29 minutes before fouling out. However, in the game that Nurkic missed entirely, Plumlee posted a 15-point, 14-rebound double-double while tacking on two assists and a block -- good for 39.0 DKFP/37.8 FDFP. Orlando (2nd in DEFRTG, 2nd versus starting centers) does represent a tough match-up but Plumlee could still easily hit value at these sub-$5k price points.
Other Centers to Consider
C Alperen Sengun, HOU at MIL
C Nikola Vicevic, CHI at DET
C Jakob Poeltl, TOR vs. IND
C Goga Bitadze, ORL at PHX
PF/C Oso Ighodaro, PHX vs. ORL
FanDuel Main Slate Only
C Ivica Zubac, LAC vs. GSW
C Clint Capela, ATL at SAC
PrizePicks NBA Power Play of the Day ⚡
Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's NBA action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these bets so I don't just lightly throw these out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.
Fred VanVleet MORE than 21.5 Points + Assists
Cade Cunningham MORE than 16.0 Rebounds + Assists
🔥 Props AI 🔥
In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for NBA – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!
Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing up for PrizePicks (Promo code: LINESTAR) or Underdog (Promo code: LINESTAR). You'll receive a 100% match on first deposits up to $100 PLUS a free month subscription to LineStar Premium. Many people may not realize that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em, and it’s incredibly easy.
That will wrap us up with today’s “Daily Dribble” edition! Once again, you can find me on Twitter or in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck everyone!