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Top NBA DFS Plays & Pick'Em Picks 11/8 | Preparing for a Friday Frenzy!
Top DFS Plays & Pick 'Ems for Friday's NBA Action!
Written By: Ryan Humphries on Twitter & LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries
Pick’Em Prop Offers 11/8/24 💸
Our editors found the top Pick’Em DFS deals so you don’t have to!
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DFS Main Slate Rundown 📰
Following a quiet Thursday schedule, NBA smacks us with another gigantic slate. DraftKings will have an 11-game main slate on the board while the FanDuel slate covers all 13 games, with the inclusion of the two late 10 o’clock ET tip-offs. As to be expected on a slate of this size, there are plenty of injuries in play but, fortunately, there aren’t a ton of super important “questionable” designations to keep track of. Nonetheless, keep an eye out for any late-breaking news and adjust accordingly! Best of luck!
Today’s Key Injuries
Note: Players who have yet to play this season or are out for the remainder of the year will be excluded from this injury list.
Pacers: A. Nembhard - Probable, A. Nesmith - OUT, TJ McConnell - Questionable
Hornets: M. Bridges - OUT, B. Miller - Probable, N. Richards - OUT, G. Williams - Probable
Hawks: B. Bogdanovic - OUT, D. Hunter - OUT, V. Krecji - OUT
Pistons: J. Duren - Doubtful
Pelicans: Z. Williamson - Questionable, D. Murray - OUT, CJ McCollum - OUT, J. Hawkins - OUT, H. Jones - OUT
Magic: P. Banchero - OUT, W. Carter Jr. - OUT
Nets: N. Clowney - Questionable
Celtics: J. Brown - OUT, L. Kornet - Doubtful
Warriors: D. Green - Questionable, B. Podziemski - Questionable, D. Melton - Questionable
Cavs: D. Wade - Probable
Suns: B. Beal - Probable, R. Dunn - OUT
Mavs: PJ Washington - OUT, D. Lively II - OUT, M. Kleber - Doubtful
Bucks: None
Knicks: C. Payne - Questionable
Wizards: K. Kuzma - OUT, M. Bagley III - Questionable
Grizzlies: J. Morant - OUT, D. Bane - OUT, M. Smart - OUT, J. Konchar - Questionable
Rockets: S. Adams - Questionable
Thunder: None
Heat: J. Jaquez Jr. - Questionable
Nuggets: J. Murray - Questionable, A. Gordon - OUT
Trailblazers: None
Timberwolves: None
Late Game Key Injuries (FD Main Slate Only)
Clippers: None
Kings: None
76ers: T. Maxey - OUT
Lakers: A. Davis - Probable, R. Hachimura - Questionable, J. Hayes - Probable
Main Slate Match-Ups w/ Game Totals & Point Spreads
Top DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Plays
Note: NBA position designations are never going to perfectly align between the major DFS sites. For the purposes of these newsletters, positional designations will default to DraftKings.
Point Guards/Shooting Guards to Consider 🏀
PG Cade Cunningham, DET | DK: $8.7k, FD: $8.9k | vs. ATL
Cunningham continues to excel in his fourth NBA year and now heads into Detroit’s 10th game of the season on the heels of back-to-back triple-doubles. He has been at his best at home thus far, averaging 1.33 FPPM, compared to 1.22 FPPM on the road. The 0.11 FPPM difference may not seem like much but stretched out across ~36 minutes, it can add up! We also have to love Cunningham’s match-up as the Hawks continue to play at a very fast pace (3rd in pace) while rating out poorly defensively (26th in DEFRTG). Vegas is pinning the Pistons with a solid 114.5 implied point total. If Detroit meets or exceeds that point projection, that would be a sizable jump up from their 106.3 PPG average this season.
PG Scotty Pippen Jr., MEM | DK: $6.5k, FD: $6k | vs. WAS
The 2023-24 season was an awful year for the Grizzlies, injury-wise, and this season isn’t off to an ideal start either. Superstar PG Ja Morant (hip) will miss tonight’s contest -- his second missed game of the season. Morant isn’t expected to be sidelined long but it thins out a Grizzlies backcourt that has already been playing without SG/SF Desmond Bane (oblique) and PG/SG Marcus Smart (ankle) -- both guys remain out tonight. So it all opens the door for Scotty Pippen Jr. to receive his first start of the season. Pippen has shown plenty of upside off of the Grizzlies’ bench this season and as an occasional starter last season. The one previous game Morant sat out this year (10/28 vs. CHI), Pippen put up a 14-point, 10-assist double-double off the bench in 31 minutes while ending the night with 40.0 DKFP/38.8 FDFP -- that was with both Bane and Smart starting and playing standard minutes. Normally, in this situation, I’d say the Grizzlies may be too thin with injuries to compete with most NBA teams, but they’re at home tonight sitting at seven-point favorites versus the hapless Wizards. Much like last season, the Wizards have been a prime match-up thanks to their fast pace (2nd in pace) and lackluster defense (25th in DEFRTG). Memphis’ 119.0 implied team total is the second-highest on the slate and anything short of 6x value out of Pippen would be a mild shock tonight.
SG/SF Bennedict Mathurin, IND | DK: $5.4k, FD: $5.5k | at CHA
Mathurin has been an excellent value play over his last four games (three consecutive starts) -- in that span, he has played no fewer than 32 minutes while averaging 1.07 FPPM. He has shot an efficient 52.5% from the field this season while also racking up some solid rebounds (5.9 RPG). The Pacers own a slate-leading 121.3 implied points versus the Hornets tonight in a match-up that is rocking a huge 236.0 over/under. As long as Mathurin’s shot stays sharp, he should continue to pay off at these mid-$5k price points.
Other Guards to Consider
PG Luka Doncic, DAL vs. PHX
PG LaMelo Ball, CHA vs. IND
PG Jalen Brunson, NYK vs. MIL
PG/SG Kyrie Irving, DAL vs. PHX
PG Tyrese Haliburton, IND at CHA
PG/SG Derrick White, BOS vs. BKN
PG/SG Tyler Herro, MIA at DEN
PG Russell Westbrook, DEN vs. MIA (Only if J.Murray is still out)
PG/SG Jaden Ivey, DET vs. ATL
PG Jose Alvarado, NOP at ORL
PG Jrue Holiday, BOS vs. BKN
SG Brandon Boston Jr., NOP at ORL
SG/SF Tim Hardaway Jr., DET vs. ATL
PG/SF Andre Jackson Jr., MIL at NYK (Preferred if starting again)
SG Luke Kennard, MEM vs. WAS
FanDuel Main Slate Only
PG De’Aaron Fox, SAC vs. LAC
PG Kyle Lowry, PHI at LAL
Small Forwards/Power Forwards to Consider 🏀
PF Jalen Johnson, ATL | DK: $8.5k, FD: $8.5k | at DET
Spending up at forward doesn’t feel like the optimal move today but one guy on the pricier side that does stand out is Jalen Johnson. Johnson has exceeded 54 DKFP/52 FDFP in four of his last six starts and has played at least 38 minutes in those four big performances. I’m not sure if history can repeat itself, but the last time Johnson played the Pistons (April 3rd of last season), he went nuclear with a 28/14/11 triple-double with five combined steals/blocks and netted over 75 DKFP. But the fact that you can get a guy at $8,500 on both sites who has fairly consistently been popping for 50+ FP is reason enough to keep him in the player pool.
PF Tobias Harris, DET | DK: $5.9k, FD: $6.7k | vs. ATL
We’ll stay in this same game and give Tobias Harris a spotlight. I don’t believe anyone is ever excited to slot Tobias Harris into their lineups in the year 2024, but he’s been fairly solid with the Pistons this season, especially as of late. Over his previous five starts, Harris is averaging a respectable 33.5 DKFP/33.4 FDFP and 1.06 FPPM. What’s most notable is the fact that starting center Jaren Duren (ankle) is doubtful to play this evening, which would be his first missed start of the season. In 93 minutes played with Duren off the floor this season, Harris has handled a slight usage boost (+2.8%) but a sizable rebound increase to go along with +10.9 FP per 32 minutes. If he goes roughly 10 FP above his baseline tonight, then it’s reasonable to expect a 40-ish FP night out of Harris. And, as mentioned in the Cade Cunningham segment, it’s an excellent match-up versus the Hawks (fast pace + poor defense).
SF/PF Jake LaRavia, MEM | DK: $5.2k, FD: $4.9k | vs. WAS
Someone can correct me if I’m wrong, but I remember Jake LaRavia being a LineStar favorite from a season ago. Despite constantly popping off for 35-to-40+ FP nights, he would often go under-owned for a banged-up Grizzlies squad. Well, the Grizzlies are back to being banged up. While most of their injuries are in the backcourt, and I wouldn’t expect LaRavia to start, I do believe he pushes for 30+ minutes off of the bench tonight. In 68 minutes with Morant, Bane, and Smart off the court this season, LaRavia has handled a +3.5% usage boost. He’s a guy who can contribute in all five categories and the Wizards are always a fantasy-friendly opponent. There is some legitimate 8x upside for LaRavia tonight and he may very well fall under 10% owned on such a sizable slate.
Other Forwards to Consider
PF/C Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL at NYK
PF Kevin Durant, PHX at DAL
SF/SG Brandon Ingram, NOP at ORL (Boost if Zion is out)
SF/PF Franz Wagner, ORL vs. NOP
PF Jaren Jackson Jr., MEM vs. WAS
SF/PF Michael Porter Jr., DEN vs. MIA (Boost if J. Murray is out)
PF Santi Aldama, MEM vs. WAS
PF/C Alexandre Sarr, WAS at MEM
SF/PF Kyshawn George, WAS at MEM
PF Peyton Watson, DEN vs. MIA
PF/C Grant Williams, CHA vs. IND
SF/PF Tari Eason, HOU at OKC
PF Kyle Anderson, GSW at CLE (Preferred if Draymond is out)
SF/PF Jarace Walker, IND at CHA
FanDuel Main Slate Only
SF/SG Paul George, PHI at LAL
SF/PF DeMar DeRozan, SAC vs. LAC
Centers to Consider 🏀
C Karl-Anthony Towns, NYK | DK: $8.4k, FD: $9.2k | vs. MIL
Is KAT’s recent production sustainable? That could be up for debate. But it certainly looks like he is gelling with his new team and, as always, Tom Thibodeau is going to give his starters as many minutes as they can handle. KAT has scored at least 53.75 DKFP/52.7 FDFP in three of his past four starts and has turned in a stellar 1.49 FPPM this season. He’s sure to have some battles with Giannis in the paint tonight but until KAT is pushing closer to $10k salaries, or if he regresses heavily, he remains firmly in play.
C Neemias Queta, BOS | DK: $4.5k, FD: $4.1k | vs. BKN
Queta’s salaries are on the rise but they’re not nearly high enough for the DFS result he should be able to turn in. Queta has started the previous two games for Boston and that role should be further cemented with Luke Kornet (hamstring) doubtful to play tonight. Queta is averaging a respectable 0.98 FPPM as a starter and projects for 28-32 minutes tonight. Quick math, and that works out to what should be easy 6x value on both sites. Per the LineStar Team DEF tool, the Nets rank 27th versus starting centers this season.
Other Centers to Consider
C Nikola Jokic, DEN vs. MIA
C Bam Adebayo, MIA at DEN
C Jarrett Allen, CLE vs. GSW
C Myles Turner, IND at CHA
C Daniel Gafford, DAL vs. PHX
C Goga Bitadze, ORL vs. NOP
C Isaiah Stewart, DET vs. ATL (Preferred if starting)
PF/C Xavier Tillman, BOS vs. BKN
FanDuel Main Slate Only
C/PF Anthony Davis, LAL vs. PHI
C/PF Domantas Sabonis, SAC vs. LAC
PrizePicks NBA Power Play of the Day ⚡
Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's NBA action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these bets so I don't just lightly throw these out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.
Daniel Gafford MORE than 19.0 Points + Rebounds
Jalen Johnson MORE than 42.5 Fantasy Score
🔥 Props AI 🔥
In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for NBA – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!
Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing up for PrizePicks (Promo code: LINESTAR) or Underdog (Promo code: LINESTAR). You'll receive a 100% match on first deposits up to $100 PLUS a free month subscription to LineStar Premium. Many people may not realize that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em, and it’s incredibly easy.
That will wrap us up with today’s “Daily Dribble” edition! Once again, you can find me on Twitter or in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck everyone!