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Top NBA DFS Plays & Prop Bets 11/23 | Stuffing Our NBA Appetite with Tonight's 12-Game Slate!
The NBA is off tomorrow for the holiday but there is plenty of action to delve into with 12 games on the schedule tonight! Let's get it!
Written By: Ryan Humphries on Twitter & LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries
DFS Main Slate Rundown 📰
It’s a busy day in the NBA with a dozen games on the docket! The league is off tomorrow for Thanksgiving, but Thursday will still be filled with NFL, college basketball, The Egg Bowl, and World Cup action if you’re in need of some sports entertainment while lounging on the couch in a tryptophan coma. Good luck today and I hope everyone has an awesome Thanksgiving!
Today’s Key Injury News:
76ers: J. Embiid - OUT, J. Harden - OUT, T. Maxey - OUT, M. Thybulle - OUT
Hornets: L. Ball - OUT, C. Martin - OUT
Trailblazers: D. Lillard - OUT, J. Hart - Probable, K. Johnson - OUT
Cavs: C. LeVert - OUT, K. Love - OUT, D. Wade - Probable
T-Wolves: K. Anderson - Questionable, J. McLaughlin - Questionable
Pacers: I. Jackson - Questionable, C. Duarte - OUT, A. Nembhard - Questionable
Mavs: S. Dinwiddie - Questionable (plans to play), M. Kleber - Doubtful
Celtics: J. Tatum - Questionable
Wizards: B. Beal - Questionable, M. Morris - Questionable, R. Hachimura - Questionable, D. Wright - OUT
Heat: J. Butler - OUT, B. Adebayo - Probable, T. Herro - Questionable, M. Strus - OUT, G. Vincent - Questionable, H. Highsmith - Probable, D. Dedmon - Questionable, D. Robinson - OUT
Nets: Y. Watanabe - OUT, Seth Curry - OUT
Raptors: P. Siakam - OUT, S. Barnes - Questionable, D. Banton - Questionable, P. Achiuwa - OUT, O. Porter Jr. - OUT
Hawks: D. Hunter - Probable
Nuggets: N. Jokic - Questionable, J. Murray - Questionable, M. Porter Jr. - Questionable, B. Hyland - OUT, J. Green - OUT
Thunder: A. Pokusevski - Questionable, M. Muscala - OUT
Bulls: G. Dragic - Questionable
Bucks: K. Middleton - Questionable (recalled by Bucks Monday, would be a surprise if he makes his season debut tonight)
Pelicans: T. Murphy III - Doubtful
Spurs: Z. Collins - OUT, J. Richardson - OUT
Pistons: C. Cunningham - OUT, I. Stewart - OUT, S. Bey - OUT, A. Burks - Questionable
Jazz: M. Conley - OUT, R. Gay - OUT
Clippers: P. George - OUT, K. Leonard - OUT, L. Kennard - OUT
Main Slate Match-Ups w/ Game Totals & Point Spreads
Note: NBA position designations are never going to perfectly align between the major DFS sites. For the purposes of these newsletters, positional designations will default to DraftKings.
💫 = Favorite Play
Point Guards/Shooting Guards to Consider 🏀
💫PG Steph Curry, GSW | DK: $10.8k, FD: $10.4k | vs. LAC | GPP Preferred
He’s pricey, but Curry has appeared in the perfect lineup a slate-high five times in the last 30 days. He’s averaging 1.63 FPPM over his last five starts which is second among today’s guards. Only Luka Doncic (1.65 FPPM L5Gms) has averaged more and will carry a ~$2k price hike compared to Curry. Curry has also been absolutely stuffing the stat sheet this season with 7.1 APG and 6.7 RPG -- some of the best peripheral numbers of his career. This is a major pace-down spot for the Warriors but there will be no Paul George or Kawhi Leonard to worry about defensively. Overall, Curry stands out as a great GPP option with single-digit expected ownership.
💫PG/SG Shake Milton, PHI | DK: $5.5k, FD: $6k | @ CHA | Cash & GPP
Milton has put up at least 31.5 DKFP in both of his recent starts while playing 36+ minutes. He will continue to handle big minutes in the starting lineup due to a thin 76ers backcourt. The 76ers are on the second leg of a B2B, but even without Embiid, Harden, and Maxey available tonight, they sit as only +5 underdogs against the Hornets.
SG/SF Norman Powell, LAC | DK: $5.3k, FD: $5.1k | @ GSW | Cash & GPP
In 109.3 minutes with Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, and Luke Kennard off the floor this season, Powell has seen a huge +10.2% usage boost and +13.5 fantasy points per 48-minute increase. This is a significant pace-up spot against a Warriors team that ranks 2nd in the NBA in pace. Powell could slide into the starting lineup tonight, but even if he comes off the bench, he’s a strong bet to play 30+ minutes regardless. Powell has also been lighting it up recently with 26 points and 30 points scored in his last two games.
Other Guards to Consider:
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC | DK: $10.2k, FD: $10.5k | vs. DEN | GPP Preferred
PG Tyrese Haliburton, IND | DK: $9.5k, FD: $9.4k | vs. MIN | Cash & GPP
PG/SG Josh Giddey, OKC | DK: $7k, FD: $6.8k | vs. DEN | Cash & GPP
💫PG Reggie Jackson, LAC | DK: $5.5k, FD: $5.5k | @ GSW | Cash & GPP
PG/SG Terrence Mann, LAC | DK: $3.4k, FD: $3.7k | @ GSW | Cash & GPP
Small Forwards/Power Forwards to Consider 🏀
SF/SG Anthony Edwards, MIN | DK: $8k, FD: $7.8k | @ IND | GPP Preferred
This is one of the juiciest match-ups on the slate that carries a close spread (MIN -2) and a monster total (237.5 O/U). Both teams rank top five in pace and Edwards should play upwards of 38 minutes here. Edwards is not the most consistent DFS asset but he has an incredible ceiling and has been routinely putting up 40+ FP performances recently. He's a great option for GPPs.
💫PF/C Ben Simmons, BKN | DK: $6.1k, FD: $7.6k | @ TOR | Cash & GPP/DK Preferred
Is Ben Simmons back? What could possibly go wrong in believing so? Given his recent production, he is priced appropriately on FanDuel but he’s simply too cheap on DraftKings after pouring in 48.25, 39.0, and 44.75 DKFP in his last three games. He has been excellent as a rebounder and shot facilitator. He’s also showing a bit more confidence in attacking the basket and scoring. This is not a sexy match-up against the Raptors but they have not been all that great at defending opposing PFs recently and they continue to miss the defensive presence of Pascal Siakam, who remains sidelined likely until next week.
PF Aaron Gordon, DEN | DK: $5.6k, FD: $6.7k | @ OKC | Cash & GPP
Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray are both candidates to sit out the second leg of the B2B due to conditioning purposes. The Nuggets may also be without Michael Porter Jr. (heel/questionable) while Bones Hyland and Jeff Green have both been ruled out. So we could be looking at a very shorthanded Denver squad tonight. If Jokic and Murray sit, Gordon could be viewed as the top-scoring option in the lineup. He has standalone value even if those other guys suit up, particularly on DraftKings at only $5,600. Consider him more of a GPP play for now but a definite cash game candidate pending further injury news.
Other Forwards to Consider:
SF/PF Lauri Markkanen, UTA | DK: $8.1k, FD: $7.9k | vs. DET | GPP Preferred
💫SF OG Anunoby, TOR | DK: $7.6k, FD: $8.2k | vs. BKN | Cash & GPP
SF/PF Bojan Bogdonovic, DET | DK: $6.5k, FD: $5.9k | @ UTA | GPP/FD Preferred
💫SF/PF Harrison Barnes, SAC | DK: $5.3k, FD: $5.9k | @ SAC | Cash & GPP
💫SF/SG Cedi Osman, CLE | DK: $3.8k, FD: $3.8k | vs. POR | Cash & GPP
Centers to Consider 🏀
PF/C Karl Anthony-Towns, MIN | DK: $9k, FD: $9k | @ IND | GPP Preferred
KAT looks to be firmly in play at a flat $9k on both sites tonight. As mentioned with Anthony Edwards, this is a terrific match-up for DFS purposes thanks to its extremely fast combined pace and high total. The Pacers have had their fair share of issues defending bigs, ranking 28th against opposing PFs over their last 20 games. We’ve seen KAT post a low floor in recent games but he’s also a player who can coast to a 50+ FP performance with relative ease. This is set up to be a vintage 50+ FP KAT game if you ask me.
💫C Paul Reed, PHI | DK: $3.7k, FD: $5.4k | @ CHA | Cash & GPP/DK Preferred
It’s pretty much impossible NOT to mention this big fella following the performance he put on last night. Reed logged 31 minutes against the Nets last night and posted 19 points, 10 rebounds, three steals, and two blocks -- good for 42.0 DKFP/44 FDFP! Montrezl Harrell may end up getting the start again in place of Joel Embiid, but Reed was a key reason why the shorthanded 76ers were able to come away victorious against the Nets last night so he should handle some significant minutes one way or the other. It’s also a stellar match-up against a Hornets team that has ranked last versus opposing centers this season.
Other Centers to Consider:
PF/C Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL | DK: $12.3k, FD: $11.8k | vs. CHI | GPP Preferred
C Bam Adebayo, MIA | DK: $8.2k, FD: $8.8k | vs. WAS | GPP Preferred
C Kelly Olynyk, UTA | DK: $5.2k, FD: $5.3k | vs. DET | GPP Preferred
NBA Player Props 📊
Player Prop or Bet | Odds | Unit Bet Size
No standard prop plays today! I got caught up writing today’s issue up so I don’t want to force any props in just to fill this section. We’ll still roll out a two-pick PrizePicks play below!
PrizePicks Two-Pick Power Play ⚡
Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's NBA action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these bets so I don't just lightly throw these out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.
Myles Turner MORE than 2.5 BLKS + STLS
De'Anthony Melton MORE than 16.5 Points
🆕 Props Edge+ 🆕
In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props Edge+ for NBA – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!
Speaking of props, put the Props Edge+ tool to use by signing up for PrizePicks (Promo code: BETFULLY) or Underdog (Promo code: LINESTAR). You'll receive a 100% match on first deposits up to $100 PLUS a free two-month subscription to LineStar Premium. Many people may not realize that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em, and it’s incredibly easy.
That will wrap us up with today’s “Daily Dribble” edition! Once again, you can find me on Twitter or in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck everyone!