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Top NBA DFS Plays & Prop Bets 11/29 | Seven Games Worth of Mid-Week Action Tonight!
Top DFS Plays & Props for Wednesday's NBA Action!
Written By: Ryan Humphries on Twitter & LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries
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DFS Main Slate Rundown 📰
Happy Humpday! We have a comfortable seven games loaded up on this mid-week slate. As usual, be prepared to make some last-minute changes or late swaps in case certain injury news doesn’t drop in a timely manner! The big-time players to watch out for are Kevin Durant, Nikola Jokic, and Jamal Murray -- who are all questionable today. LeBron James is also carrying his usual “questionable” designation but that’s just kinda the routine in Laker Land, and James is most likely suiting up… but still keep an eye on his status nonetheless.
Sidenote: Like a lot of people seem to be this time of year, I’m flying a bit under the weather with a nagging cold so the player spotlights will be more on the shorter side today. We’ll still be looking to crack the code for this slate so let’s get into it! Best of luck!
Today’s Key Injuries
Wizards: D. Wright - OUT
Magic: W. Carter Jr. - OUT, M. Fultz - OUT, J. Isaac - Questionable
Lakers: L. James - Questionable, A. Davis - Probable, C. Reddish - Probable, R. Hachimura - OUT, G. Vincent - OUT
Pistons: J. Harris - OUT
Suns: K. Durant - Questionable, B. Beal - OUT, G. Allen - OUT, N. Little - OUT
Raptors: None
Jazz: L. Markkanen - OUT, J. Clarkson - Questionable, K. Olynyk - Questionable, K. Dunn - OUT
Grizzlies: M. Smart - OUT, X. Tillman - OUT, L. Kennard - OUT
76ers: K. Oubre Jr. - OUT, J. Springer - OUT, D. House Jr. - OUT
Pelicans: CJ McCollum - Probable, T. Murphy III - Doubtful (would be season debut), M. Ryan - Doubtful
Rockets: F. VanVleet - OUT, J. Tate - OUT, T. Eason - Questionable, A. Thompson - OUT
Nuggets: N. Jokic - Questionable, J. Murray - Questionable, A. Gordon - Questionable, P. Watson - Probable
Clippers: M. Plumlee - OUT
Kings: K. Murray - OUT, A. Len - OUT
Main Slate Match-Ups w/ Game Totals & Point Spreads
Top DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Plays
Note: NBA position designations are never going to perfectly align between the major DFS sites. For the purposes of these newsletters, positional designations will default to DraftKings.
Point Guards/Shooting Guards to Consider 🏀
SG/SF Desmond Bane, MEM | DK: $8.5k, FD: $8.3k | vs. UTA
Bane is coming off of a pair of poor shooting performances but we’ll look for him to get back on track tonight. The Grizzlies are still extremely shorthanded, which leaves plenty of usage to fall on Bane’s shoulders. It’s also a strong get-right spot against a Jazz team that ranks 26th in DEFRTG and struggles to defend opposing scorers and primary ball handlers. When Memphis met with Utah earlier this month, Bane dropped 37 points with eight assists, four rebounds, two blocks, and a steal across 38 minutes played -- good for 62.0 DKFP/59.8 FDFP. It’s hard to predict a similar performance tonight, but that is where his ceiling sits in this match-up.
PG/SG Cole Anthony, ORL | DK: $6.7k, FD: $6.4k | vs. WAS
The Magic continue to play without Markelle Fultz and Wendell Carter Jr. so Cole Anthony has been a bit more involved as of late, even though he plays off of the Orlando bench. He exploded for a 30/7/7 game against the Hornets on Sunday, netting himself 54.75 DKFP/55.9 FDFP. That was clearly an outlier performance, but Anthony is now up to a strong 1.26 FPPM average over his last five games. If he can manage to play around 30-32 minutes, he’ll be a solid bet to return value if he maintains his recent productive rate of play. As usual, the Wizards are one of the best teams to target with opposing players as they check in at 2nd in pace and 28th in DEFRTG.
PG Aaron Holiday, HOU | DK: $4.1k, FD: $3.9k | @ DEN
The Rockets ruled out both Fred VanVleet (thumb) and Jae’Sean Tate (knee) on their second leg of a back-to-back. On top of existing injury absences, that will leave them quite shorthanded in the backcourt. We should expect Aaron Holiday to slide into the rotation as the Rockets’ starting point guard. Holiday is not the most prolific fantasy scorer, but he is averaging a decent enough 0.73 FPPM this season, which is upped to 0.85 FPPM over his last five games. Regardless, if he starts and plays 30+ minutes, he’ll almost certainly return some value on these low-end salaries.
Other Guards to Consider
PG/SG Devin Booker, PHX | DK: $10.3k, FD: $10.4k | @ TOR (Bump if K. Durant sits)
PG Tyrese Maxey, PHI | DK: $9.2k, FD: $9.4k | @ NOP
PG Cade Cunningham, DET | DK: $8.5k, FD: $8.1k | vs. LAL
SG Jalen Green, HOU | DK: $6.8k, FD: $6.8k | @ DEN
PG Reggie Jackson, DEN | DK: $6.3k, FD: $6k | vs. HOU (Only if Jokic/Murray remain out)
PG Keyonte George, UTA | DK: $6.1k, FD: $5.7k | @ MEM
PG/SG De’Anthony Melton, PHI | DK: $6.1k, FD: $6k | @ NOP
PG/SG Jaden Ivey, DET | DK: $5.7k, FD: $5.8k | vs. LAL
PG Derrick Rose, MEM | DK: $4.4k, FD: $4.1k | vs. UTA
Small Forwards/Power Forwards to Consider 🏀
SF/SG Paul George, LAC | DK: $8.8k, FD: $8.6k | @ SAC
This game will feature the second-highest total (230.5) and closest spread (LAC -1.5) on the slate, so it’s probably worth getting exposure to some players in this one. George put up a total dud in his last game while shooting an abysmal 2-of-13 from the field, however, that was just his third game of the season where he scored fewer than 41.75 DKFP/40.3 FDFP. We can likely expect a bounce-back performance out of George tonight and he’ll provide a strong floor for a sub-$9k player. George is also averaging 48.9 DKFP/46.7 FDFP in close games this season and that’s what we’re expecting out of this Clippers/Kings nightcap match-up this evening.
PF/C Jaren Jackson Jr. MEM | DK: $7.4k, FD: $7.8k | vs. UTA
The ceiling games have not been there for JJJ lately, but he is averaging a hair over 33.0 FPPG with a 30+% USG% across his last five contests and we know he has 50+ or even 60+ fantasy point potential when he takes over a game. Now that he’s back down in the $7k pricing tier, we can feel a little better about rolling him out. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Desmond Bane (highlighted above) lead the charge for a depleted Grizzlies roster and they’ll be in a strong spot against the Jazz (26th in DEFRTG) who will be without their highest-graded defender, Lauri Markkanen (hamstring/out).
PF Nicolas Batum, PHI | DK: $4.2k, FD: $4.5k | @ NOP
It’s not always pretty but Nic Batum is a cheap starter on a good team and he’s coming off of back-to-back 30+ fantasy point performances. He can seemingly score under 15 FP just as easily as he can go over 30 FP but, at $4.2k/$4.5k price tags, we can afford to take a gamble on him today if it means we get to load up on some superstars elsewhere in our lineup. Despite his low 7.9% usage rate, Batum has been efficient when he does put up shots. He’s making 77.8% of his two-point shots this season along with 50% of his 3PA.
Other Forwards to Consider
PF Zion Williamson, NOP | DK: $9k, FD: $8.3k | vs. PHI (FD Preferred)
PF Paolo Banchero, ORL | DK: $8.2k, FD: $7.7k | vs. WAS
PF Kawhi Leonard, LAC | DK: $8k, FD: $8.5k | @ SAC
SF Franz Wagner, ORL | DK: $7.5k, FD: $7.4k | vs. WAS
SF/PF Santi Aldama, MEM | DK: $6.4k, FD: $6.2k | vs. UTA
PF Jabari Smith Jr., HOU | DK: $6.1k, FD: $6.5k | @ DEN
SF/PF Simone Fontecchio, UTA | DK: $4.6k, FD: $4.2k | @ MEM
SF/PF Tari Eason, HOU | DK: $4.4k, FD: $4.5k | @ DEN
Centers to Consider 🏀
C Alperen Sengun, HOU | DK: $8.5k, FD: $8.4k | @ DEN
We’ve got “Discount Jokic” going up against the real deal today (assuming Jokic plays). I am always a bit hesitant to roster bigs when they’re on the road in Denver, due to the elevation having a larger toll on the bigger-bodied players. But Sengun has now dropped three 50+ fantasy point performances in his last four games, one of which was a 21/15/8 against Jokic and the Nuggets last Friday -- a game in which Sengun played 43 minutes (all in regulation). I wouldn’t label this as a “safe” play, but we have to continue taking shots on Sengun’s upside while he remains a mid-$8k player.
C Jalen Duren, DET | DK: $6.9k, FD: $7k | vs. LAL
There are a number of great center options on this slate and, if you’re on DraftKings, it may be one of those days where rolling with a double-center lineup strategy pays off. Duren, who missed a handful of games recently with an ankle injury, re-entered the starting rotation on Monday after playing 29 minutes off the bench in his return to action last Friday. Injuries have plagued him this season but when he’s out there for his usual 30-35 minutes, he tends to post some eye-catching fantasy scores. He’s averaging a strong 1.21 FPPM this season and the Lakers tend to be a plus match-up for opposing centers. The Lakers are giving up 37.9 DKFP/37.0 FDFP per game to starting centers. At $6.9k/$7k, Duren brings a nice amount of 40+ FP upside to lineups at an affordable price.
Other Centers to Consider
C Nikola Jokic, DEN | DK: $12.8k, FD: $12.6k | vs. HOU (He is currently questionable)
C Joel Embiid, PHI | DK: $11.8k, FD: $12.3k | @ NOP
C Anthony Davis, LAL | DK: $9.8k, FD: $10.6k | @ DET (DK Preferred)
C Jusuf Nurkic, PHX | DK: $6.7k, FD: $7.1k | @ TOR
C Walker Kessler, UTA | DK: $5.9k, FD: $5.9k | @ MEM
C Goga Bitadze, ORL | DK: $5.3k, FD: $6k | vs. WAS
C Bismack Biyombo, MEM | DK: $5.2k, FD: $5.6k | vs. UTA
C Omer Yurtseven, UTA | DK: $5k, FD: $4.4k | @ MEM (If he continues to start)
C Deandre Jordan, DEN | DK: $4.4k, FD: $5k | vs. HOU (Only if Jokic is out)
C James Wiseman, DET | DK: $3k, FD: $3.7k | vs. LAL (DK min-priced punt)
PrizePicks NBA Power Play ⚡
Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's NBA action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these bets so I don't just lightly throw these out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.
No PrizePicks plays from me today but feel free to refer to the props video by Shannon & Tyler posted at the top of this article!
🆕 Props AI 🆕
In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for NBA – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!
Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing up for PrizePicks (Promo code: BETFULLY) or Underdog (Promo code: LINESTAR). You'll receive a 100% match on first deposits up to $100 PLUS a free two-month subscription to LineStar Premium. Many people may not realize that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em, and it’s incredibly easy.
That will wrap us up with today’s “Daily Dribble” edition! Once again, you can find me on Twitter or in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck everyone!