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Top NBA DFS Plays & Prop Bets 2/1 | Superstar Guards & Value Forwards Headline Tonight's Slate!
A hefty midweek NBA slate hits the board with eight games on tap this evening. Let’s keep the good times rolling and hone in on some top DFS and prop plays!
Written By: Ryan Humphries on Twitter & LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries
Straight Locks🔒 | NBA Props w/ Shannon & Tyler!
DFS Main Slate Rundown 📰
New month, new money! We’ve got a busy day ahead of us in the NBA with eight games to dig into! Originally, we had nine games on the schedule this evening but due to some weather-related flight issues, the Pistons/Wizards game has been postponed. A ton of offensive potential remains on this slate with seven games boasting over/unders of 230+ points. As always, best of luck and let’s have some fun!
Today’s Key Injuries:
Trailblazers: J. Nurkic - Probable, J. Hart - Probable, J. Winslow - OUT
Grizzlies: D. Bane - Questionable, S. Adams - OUT, D. Green - Questionable (would be season debut), J. Konchar - Questionable
Magic: W. Carter Jr. - Questionable, C. Okeke - OUT, J. Isaac - OUT
76ers: J. Embiid - Questionable
Nets: K. Durant - OUT, B. Simmons - OUT, TJ Warren - OUT, Y. Watanabe - Probable
Celtics: M. Smart - OUT
Warriors: A. Iguodala - OUT
Timberwolves: K. Towns - OUT, R. Gobert - Questionable, T. Prince - Questionable
Thunder: L. Dort - OUT, A. Pokusevski - OUT, J. Robinson-Earl - OUT
Rockets: K. Porter Jr. - OUT, J. Green - OUT
Kings: None
Spurs: D. Vassell - OUT, J. Richardson - Probable, R. Langford - Questionable
Raptors: OG Anunoby - OUT
Jazz: None
Hawks: T. Young - Probable
Suns: D. Booker - OUT, C. Payne - OUT, L. Shamet - OUT
Main Slate Match-Ups w/ Game Totals & Point Spreads
Top DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Plays
Note: NBA position designations are never going to perfectly align between the major DFS sites. For the purposes of these newsletters, positional designations will default to DraftKings.
💫 = Favorite Play
Point Guards/Shooting Guards to Consider 🏀
PG Stephen Curry, GSW | DK: $10.3k, FD: $10.1k | @ MIN | Cash & GPP
Chef Curry has been in the kitchen cooking for the last few days. He has combined for 73 points and 23 assists in his last two games and he was five combined rebounds short of posting back-to-back triple-doubles. Curry’s DFS outputs have been fairly up and down this season but he’ll land in an enticing match-up with the T-Wolves who, like the Warriors (1st in pace), also play very up-tempo (MIN: 7th in pace). Curry has averaged +8.2% more FPPG in road games this season and this game will feature a ton of possessions, shot attempts, and peripheral stat opportunities.
💫PG De’Aaron Fox, SAC | DK: $8.2k, FD: $8.6k | @ SAS | Cash & GPP
If you’re a fan of defense, don’t bother tuning into this game. The Spurs remain the worst defensive team in the NBA (last in defensive efficiency, 122.3 PPG allowed) and the Kings have not been much better (22nd in defensive efficiency, 116.5 PPG allowed). The simple lack of defense in this game will make a high-usage player, who is also a primary facilitator, like De’Aaron Fox a prime DFS target out of this upper mid-range. Fox has posted a 30.61% USG% over his last five games while dishing out 7.4 APG and snagging 2.2 STL+BLK/Gm. Fox combined for 51 shot attempts in his last two games alone and if he keeps that same aggressive mindset tonight, he’s poised for a huge fantasy performance. The Kings sit atop the slate with a 125.8 implied point total and if they meet those expectations, Fox will have scored or assisted on a large portion of that offensive output.
💫PG Mike Conley, UTA | DK: $5.6k, FD: $5.9k | vs. TOR | Cash & GPP
It’s never a sexy nor exciting play, but at his current DFS salaries, Mike Conley has been consistently providing a strong floor. He has provided at least 28.25 DKFP in seven consecutive games and draws a sneaky good match-up tonight. The Raptors are tough in the paint but that forces plenty of action toward the opposing backcourt and starting point guards are averaging 40.68 FPPG versus Toronto in their last 20 games. The Jazz have not played since Saturday and Conley has averaged an additional +21% FPPG when well-rested. He’ll be a solid target out of the $5k range on both sites today.
Other Guards to Consider:
PG Ja Morant, MEM | DK: $10.4k, FD: $10.2k | vs. POR | GPP Preferred (Cash play if D. Bane is out again)
💫SG/SF Anthony Edwards, MIN | DK: $9.8k, FD: $9.5k | vs. GSW | Cash & GPP
💫PG Chris Paul, PHX | DK: $8.3k, FD: $8.3k | vs. ATL | Cash & GPP
PG Fred VanVleet, TOR | DK: $8.1k, FD: $8.8k | @ UTA | GPP Preferred
PG D’Angelo Russell, MIN | DK: $7.1k, FD: $7k | vs. GSW | GPP Preferred
SG/SF Kevin Huerter, SAC | DK: $5.3k, FD: $5.8k | @ SAS | GPP Preferred
PG/SG Jaylen Nowell, MIN | DK: $3.3k, FD: $4.2k | vs. GSW | DK Preferred
SG/SF Doug McDermott, SAS | DK: $3k, FD: $3.8k | vs. SAC | DK Preferred
Small Forwards/Power Forwards to Consider 🏀
💫SF/SG Mikal Bridges, PHX | DK: $7k, FD: $7.3k | vs. ATL | Cash & GPP
Given the injury circumstances that the Suns continue to deal with, Mikal Bridges makes a ton of sense as a prime DFS play tonight. Devin Booker, Cam Payne, and Landry Shamet all remain out with various injuries. Bridges has handled a +3.1% usage boost when those three players have been off the court this season. The great thing about Bridges is the fact that he will be locked into massive, massive minutes in any remotely competitive game. He has logged between 37 and 42 minutes in seven of his last nine games and he has returned at least 40.5 DKFP in six of his last nine as well, including a huge 50.25 DKFP performance against the Raptors on Monday night. This game currently owns the closest spread on the slate (PHX -1.5) and the Hawks have ranked 29th against opposing small forwards over their last 20 games.
💫SF Eric Gordon, HOU | DK: $5.3k, FD: $5k | vs. OKC | Cash & GPP
The Rockets have been playing without PG Kevin Porter Jr. for nine consecutive games and SG Jalen Green will be sitting out his second straight game with a calf injury. They will have their emerging stud big man Alperen Sengun back in action after he missed the last game with an illness, but Porter (25.5% USG%) and Green (27.9% USG%) have been the Rockets’ two highest usage players so there will be plenty of slack for other shooters to pick up tonight. Without Porter and Green on the floor this season, Eric Gordon has picked up a team-leading +9.06% usage boost along with a +14.37 per 48-minute fantasy point increase. Gordon poured in 24 points with seven assists and two steals (37.0 DKFP) in their last game on Saturday. While Sengun’s return could negatively impact Gordon’s upside tonight, there is still plenty of meat on the bone, value-wise, at his current $5.3k/$5k DFS salaries.
💫PF Jeremy Sochan, SAS | DK: $5.2k, FD: $5.6k | vs. SAC | Cash & GPP
There are quite a few appealing forward options out of the $5k range today and Sochan certainly looks like a prime target. He’s playing solid minutes, even in blowouts, and he has posted at least 27.0 DKFP in his last seven games. As mentioned above in the De’Aaron Fox spotlight, this game is not expected to feature much defense whatsoever and, to no surprise, it boasts a slate-high 243.5 over/under. We should be able to get a strong DFS floor out of Sochan tonight and he has shown off 7x-9x upside in several games this season.
Other Forwards to Consider:
SF/PF Lauri Markkanen, UTA | DK: $8.4k, FD: $8.6k | vs. TOR | GPP Preferred
💫SF/PF Paolo Banchero, ORL | DK: $6.7k, FD: $7.6k | @ PHI | DK Preferred
PF/C Draymond Green, GSW | DK: $6.4k, FD: $7.1k | @ MIN | GPP Preferred
PF Tari Eason, HOU | DK: $5.4k, FD: $5.7k | vs. OKC | Cash & GPP
PF Keegan Murray, SAC | DK: $5.1k, FD: $5.6k | @ SAS | GPP Preferred
💫SF/PF Kenrich Williams, OKC | DK: $4.6k, FD: $4.8k | @ HOU | Cash & GPP (Preferred if starting)
PF Chris Boucher, TOR | DK: $3.9k, FD: $4.9k | @ UTA | DK Preferred
Centers to Consider 🏀
💫C Deandre Ayton, PHX | DK: $7.8k, FD: $7.9k | vs. ATL | Cash & GPP
Ayton has somewhat surprisingly picked up the largest usage bump (+5.8%) when Booker, Payne, and Shamet (all out tonight) have been off the floor this season. Ayton is capable of putting up some monster numbers and has a high of 66.25 DKFP (11/26 vs. UTA) this season. However, he can also be a bit streaky at times. Those three Suns’ player absences should do nothing but strengthen Ayton’s floor and upside tonight. He’ll make ample sense as a sub-$8k center option tonight against the Hawks, who have ranked 28th versus centers across their last 20 games.
C Precious Achiuwa, TOR | DK: $5.7k, FD: $6.4k | @ UTA | Cash & GPP
Achiuwa’s DFS salaries are rapidly climbing but he still has the potential to smash value as he continues to land in the starting lineup in place of the injured OG Anunoby. Achiuwa has started four of the last six games and has played at least 33 minutes in each while churning out four double-doubles and DKFP totals of 44.25, 31.75, 50.25, and 32.5. He’s a strong bet to handle mid-30s minutes once again and he has a plus match-up ahead of him against the Jazz who allow the 4th most points in the paint per game (54.2 PITP/Gm).
Other Centers to Consider:
💫C Alperen Sengun, HOU | DK: $8.8k, FD: $8.3k | vs. OKC | Cash & GPP
C Rudy Gobert, MIN | DK: $6.8k, FD: $7.6k | vs. GSW | GPP Preferred (Note: Gobert is currently questionable)
PF/C Brandon Clarke, MEM | DK: $6.4k, FD: $6k | vs. POR | GPP Preferred
💫C Clint Capela, ATL | DK: $6.2k, FD: $6.9k | @ PHX | DK Preferred
C Jaylin Williams, OKC | DK: $3.3k, FD: $4k | @ HOU | GPP Preferred (If he starts)
NBA Player Props 📊
Player Prop or Bet | Odds | Unit Bet Size
Eric Gordon OVER 18.5 Points + Assists | -130 (BetMGM) | 2.25 Units
Mikal Bridges OVER 22.5 Points + Assists | -115 (PointsBet) | 2.0 Units
PrizePicks Power Play ⚡
Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's NBA action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these bets so I don't just lightly throw these out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.
Eric Gordon MORE than 24.5 Fantasy Score
Mikal Bridges MORE than 22.5 Points + Assists
🆕 Props Edge+ 🆕
In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props Edge+ for NBA – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!
Speaking of props, put the Props Edge+ tool to use by signing up for PrizePicks (Promo code: BETFULLY) or Underdog (Promo code: LINESTAR). You'll receive a 100% match on first deposits up to $100 PLUS a free two-month subscription to LineStar Premium. Many people may not realize that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em, and it’s incredibly easy.
That will wrap us up with today’s “Daily Dribble” edition! Once again, you can find me on Twitter or in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck everyone!