Top NBA DFS Plays & Prop Bets 2/16 | One Final Slate Before the All-Star Break!

A mini three-game slate lands on the docket tonight, just ahead of the All-Star Break. Let’s have one more profitable DFS/prop bet evening before the NBA goes on a week-long hiatus!

Written By: Ryan Humphries on Twitter & LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries

DFS Main Slate Rundown 📰

Tonight is the last chance to get your NBA DFS fix in before the All-Star Break! Only three games are on tap tonight, so this will be a short and sweet newsletter. Best of luck tonight, enjoy the All-Star festivities, and we’ll reconvene when the NBA regular season gets back underway next Thursday!

Today’s Key Injuries:

Bucks: B. Portis - OUT, K. Middleton - OUT, P. Connaughton - OUT

Bulls: D. DeRozan - OUT, A. Caruso - OUT, G. Dragic - OUT, D. Jones Jr. - OUT

Wizards: W. Barton - OUT

T-Wolves: K. Towns - OUT, R. Gobert - Questionable, K. Anderson - Questionable

Clippers: N. Powell - OUT

Suns: K. Durant - OUT, C. Payne - OUT, L. Shamet - OUT

Main Slate Match-Ups w/ Game Totals & Point Spreads

Top DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Plays

Note: NBA position designations are never going to perfectly align between the major DFS sites. For the purposes of these newsletters, positional designations will default to DraftKings.

💫 = Favorite Play

Point Guards/Shooting Guards to Consider 🏀

💫PG Chris Paul, PHX | DK: $8k, FD: $8.5k | vs. LAC | Cash & GPP

We don’t have the usual assortment of elite point guards at our disposal on this small slate but Chris Paul has some decent appeal out of the $8k range. He just dished out a season-high 19 assists on Tuesday, ending the night with 55.75 DKFP, and he has at least 12 assists in three of his last five. Devin Booker’s minutes are slowly creeping up (29 min. last game) but I doubt he plays huge minutes considering we’re on the cusp of the week-long All-Star Break. Booker being on the court does put a slight hit on Paul’s usage rate (-2.22%) but he’s a benefit when it comes to Paul’s assist rate. The Suns still won’t have Kevin Durant available until after the ASB. Meanwhile, Cam Payne and Landry Shamet remain injured and the Suns lost Mikal Bridges and Cameron Johnson in the KD deal. So, even in a less-than-ideal match-up, expect decent usage from Paul to go along with his usual elite assist upside.

💫PG Jrue Holiday, MIL | DK: $7.5k, FD: $8k | @ CHI | Cash & GPP

The game did go into overtime, but Holiday went ballistic against the Celtics on Valentine’s Day, putting up a season-high 40 points with seven assists, five rebounds, and three steals -- 64.25 DKFP. The Bucks will be without three players who range from moderate to high usage rates: Khris Middleton (28.8% USG%), Bobby Portis (21.8% USG%), and Pat Connaughton (14.1% USG%). It’s still the “Giannis Show” in Milwaukee, but Jrue is pretty much a lock to operate as the second offensive option and may see a few minutes with Giannis off the court. The Bucks will catch the Bulls on the second leg of a back-to-back and Holiday should be considered a safe floor play with a fair amount of upside.

PG/SG Coby White, CHI | DK: $4.1k, FD: $4.8k | vs. MIL | Cash & GPP

Coby White’s services will be needed tonight as the Bulls play on the second leg of a back-to-back without DeMar DeRozan, Alex Caruso, and Goran Dragic. White had an excellent game off of the bench last night, posting 25 points and 37.75 DKFP. Some of the Bulls starters played massive minutes, including 43 minutes from Zach LaVine and 43 minutes from starting PG Ayo Dosunmu. If those guys have some tired legs, White may handle another 30+ minute workload this evening which would open up a fairly easy pathway to 6x value (and beyond) at his current DFS salaries.

Other Guards to Consider:

SG/SF Zach LaVine, CHI | DK: $8.7k, FD: $8.2k | vs. MIL | GPP Preferred

SG Bradley Beal, WAS | DK: $7.7k, FD: $9.3k | @ MIN | DK Preferred

💫PG Mike Conley, MIN | DK: $5.2k, FD: $6.2k | vs. WAS | Cash & GPP

PG Ayo Dosunmu, CHI | DK: $4.2k, FD: $4.4k | vs. MIL | GPP Preferred

PG/SG Joe Ingles, MIL | DK: $3.4k, FD: $4k | GPP Preferred

Small Forwards/Power Forwards to Consider 🏀

💫PF/C Kristaps Porzingis, WAS | DK: $9.2k, FD: $9.1k | @ MIN | Cash & GPP

We’ll skip over the Giannis spotlight -- if you can make room for him, he’s always a great, albeit chalky, DFS play, especially on a short slate that doesn’t have any superstar guard options available to choose from. Instead, let’s lead off the forward section with the Unicorn, Kristaps Porzingis. Now that he’s priced back down in the low-$9k range on both DK and FD, he sets up as a much more trustworthy DFS play. He has exceeded 50 DKFP in five of his last eight games and takes on an up-tempo T-Wolves team that ranks 5th in pace and may not have Rudy Gobert (groin/questionable) available to guard the paint. This game features a slate-high 235 over/under and the last time Porzingis went against Minnesota (Nov. 28th), he dropped 41 points with five combined blocks/steals and 63.0 DKFP. Porzingis is in a good spot to put up another “50 burger” tonight.

💫SF/SG Josh Okogie, PHX | DK: $4.9k, FD: $5.6k | vs. LAC | Cash & GPP

Okogie has been picking up big minutes lately as a result of injuries and losing some players at the trade deadline. He’s averaging 35.3 Min/Gm over the last three games while starting the last two. He has not been overly productive from a per-minute standpoint this season, but in this three-game stretch, he has averaged 1.01 FPPM. If he’s going to continue to handle mid-30s minutes as a starter, Okogie sets up as a rock-solid DFS play at his current DFS price points.

SF/PF Taurean Prince, MIN | DK: $3.2k, FD: $4.7k | vs. WAS | DK Preferred

Prince may get bumped out of the starting lineup, depending on the availability of Kyle Anderson (back/questionable) -- though, Prince did start the previous game on Monday while Anderson played off of the bench. Whether he starts or not, Prince should be able to log around 22-26 minutes which makes him a worthy punt play on DraftKings at just $3,200. He’s averaging just 0.75 FPPM this season but he can often rack up a couple of blocks/steals, which is a nice boost to his fantasy production. If he can end the game with just 20 DKFP, that would represent over 6x value on DK.

Other Forwards to Consider:

💫PF/C Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL | DK: $12.7k, FD: $12.5k | @ CHI | Cash & GPP

SF/SG Paul George, LAC | DK: $8.5k, FD: $8.6k | @ PHX | GPP Preferred

SF/PF Kyle Kuzma, WAS | DK: $7.9k, FD: $7.7k | @ MIN | GPP Preferred

SF/PF Jaden McDaniels, MIN | DK: $4.3k, FD: $5.6k | vs. WAS | DK Preferred

SF/SG Marjon Beauchamp, MIL | DK: $3.1k, FD: $3.7k | @ CHI | GPP Preferred (If he’s starting)

Centers to Consider 🏀

💫C Deandre Ayton, PHX | DK: $8.3k, FD: $9k | vs. LAC | Cash & GPP

Ayton is averaging a 28-point, 11-rebound double-double over his last five and he has put up at least 56.75 DKFP in three of those five games. Ayton has shown that he can post those monster DFS scores even with Devin Booker back in the lineup. His offensive usage will take a big hit when Kevin Durant is finally healthy enough to make his Suns debut but that’s not something we need to worry about just yet. Even in a difficult match-up, Ayton stands out as a go-to center play on this small slate.

C Daniel Gafford, WAS | DK: $5k, FD: $6k | @ MIN | GPP Preferred

Five fouls led to Gafford playing just 15 minutes in Washington's last game but, before that, he had strung together five games of at least 26.0 DKFP. I wouldn’t consider him a “safe” option, especially with Kyle Kuzma and Kristaps Porzingis both being healthy, but he has shown some major upside at times this season and his DFS salaries are palatable -- especially on DraftKings at a flat $5,000.

Other Centers to Consider:

C Nikola Vucevic, CHI | DK: $9.3k, FD: $8.8k | vs. MIL | Cash & GPP

C Rudy Gobert, MIN | DK; $6.2k, FD: $7.6k | vs. WAS | DK Preferred (Note: Gobert is currently questionable)

PF/C Naz Reid, MIN | DK: $4k, FD: $5.2k | vs. WAS | Cash & GPP (Only if R. Gobert sits)

NBA Player Props 📊

Player Prop or Bet | Odds | Unit Bet Size

No standard prop plays today.

PrizePicks Power Play ⚡

Here is a two-pick “Power Play” I’m liking for today's NBA action over on PrizePicks! Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but I put my own money on these bets so I don't just lightly throw these out there without believing they'll cash! If it hits, it will return 3x the wager.

Chris Paul MORE than 36.5 Fantasy Score

Kristaps Porzingis MORE than 41.5 Fantasy Score

🆕 Props AI 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props AI for NBA – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

Speaking of props, put the Props AI tool to use by signing up for PrizePicks (Promo code: BETFULLY) or Underdog (Promo code: LINESTAR). You'll receive a 100% match on first deposits up to $100 PLUS a free two-month subscription to LineStar Premium. Many people may not realize that you can legally place prop bets in most states using UnderDog (or PrizePicks) – it’s called Pick'Em, and it’s incredibly easy.

That will wrap us up with today’s “Daily Dribble” edition! Once again, you can find me on Twitter or in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck everyone!