Written By: Ryan Humphries on Twitter/X & LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries

NBA DFS Today w/ Tyler Wiemann

🏀Tyler’s NBA prop bets can be found on the LineStar YouTube Shorts page!🏀

DFS Main Slate Rundown 📰

Another late-season slate arrives with six games on DraftKings and eight on FanDuel, with DK excluding the late-window DET/OKC and WAS/LAL matchups. There’s plenty of scoring upside, highlighted by three games with totals north of 240 points, but blowout risk is also a major factor, with five games carrying spreads of at least 11.5 points. The injury report is about what you’d expect for this time of year, so staying on top of late news and lineup updates will be critical as we approach lock. Best of luck!

Main Slate Match-Ups w/ Game Totals & Point Spreads

Today’s Key Injuries 🚑

^{Note: NBA injury reports can be fickle and often update throughout the day. Be sure to stay up-to-date on all injury news leading up to tip-off as the list below may be a bit outdated by the time you’re reading this.}

^{Additional Note: Players who will miss the remainder of the season will be excluded from the injury report.}

• 76ers: None

• Heat: N. Powell – OUT, P. Larsson – Probable

• Celtics: J. Tatum – OUT, D. White – Probable, N. Vucevic – OUT, N. Queta – DOUBTFUL, R. Harper Jr. – Questionable

• Hawks: J. Landale – Questionable

• Bulls: A. Simons – OUT, N. Richards – Questionable, G. Yabusele – Questionable

• Spurs: None

• Suns: D. Brooks – OUT, G. Allen – Questionable, M. Williams – OUT

• Grizzlies: T. Jerome – OUT, J. Small – DOUBTFUL, O. Prosper – DOUBTFUL, W. Clayton Jr. – Questionable, J. Wells – OUT, D. Jarreau – Questionable

• Timberwolves: A. Edwards – Questionable, J. McDaniels – OUT

• Mavs: N. Marshall – Questionable, PJ Washington – Questionable, D. Gafford – Probable, M. Bagley III – Questionable, C. Martin – DOUBTFUL

• Cavs: J. Allen – OUT, M. Strus – OUT, J. Tyson – OUT, D. Wade – OUT, C. Porter Jr. – Probable

• Jazz: L. Markkanen – OUT, I. Collier – OUT, K. George – OUT

Late Game Injury Report (FanDuel Main Slate Only)

• Pistons: C. Cunningham – OUT, J. Duren – OUT, T. Harris – OUT, I. Stewart – OUT, D. Robinson – OUT

• Thunder: Jal. Williams – OUT, I. Hartenstein – OUT

• Wizards: T. Young – OUT, K. George – OUT, B. Coulibaly – Questionable, A. Gill – Questionable

• Lakers: L. Doncic – OUT, M. Smart – OUT

Top DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Plays

Note: NBA position designations are never going to perfectly align between the major DFS sites. For the purposes of these newsletters, positional designations will default to DraftKings.

Point Guards/Shooting Guards to Consider 🏀

PG Tyrese Maxey, PHI | DK: $9.7k, FD: $10.3k | at MIA

Maxey returned from a 10-game absence and immediately stepped back into a massive role, logging 43 minutes while posting a 26/7/8 line. Even with Joel Embiid and Paul George back in the mix, there’s still plenty of room for him to carry a strong offensive workload, especially with the ball in his hands as the primary guard. The minutes are as secure as it gets, with Maxey projecting for 38.0 tonight. This is also poised to be the top game environment on the slate, featuring a 244.5 total and a tight 1.5-point spread, along with the fastest combined pace. Miami continues to push the tempo and has consistently led the NBA in pace all season, while Philadelphia has quietly been playing faster of late, ranking 4th in pace over their last 10 games.

PG/SG Dylan Harper, SAS | DK: $5.1k, FD: $5.8k | vs. CHI

Harper has been extremely efficient of late, averaging 17.3 PPG and 30.5 DKFP/gm over his last four while shooting a scorching 65.1% from the field and 47.1% from three. San Antonio carries the top implied team total on the slate at 131.5 points in a strong matchup against a Chicago team that ranks 3rd in pace. Even though he’s not a starter, Harper is a vital piece to this roster, so he isn't going to benefit from any garbage-time run in the likely event of a blowout tonight (SAS -18.5 favorites). That said, if he reaches the mid-20s in minutes and maintains this recent level of efficiency, Harper has a clear path to another strong outing against a Bulls defense that has ranked 28th in DvP versus bench guards over their last 20 games.

PG Davion Mitchell, MIA | DK: $4.5k, FD: $4.4k | vs. PHI

Mitchell hasn’t been consistent from a production standpoint lately, but this is a solid bounce-back spot. With Norman Powell sidelined due to illness, Mitchell should continue to handle a heavy workload after logging 35+ minutes and at least 31.75 DKFP in each of the last two games Powell has missed. That kind of role is tough to ignore at these mid-$4k price points. As noted in the Maxey section, this game sets up extremely well from both a pace and competitiveness standpoint, so getting exposure to players locked into strong minutes here is going to make plenty of sense, especially on a night where we’re likely going to see plenty of blowouts.

Small Forwards/Power Forwards to Consider 🏀

SF/PF Paul George, PHI | DK: $7.7k, FD: $8k | at MIA

George has come out firing since returning from his 25-game suspension, averaging 55.9 DKFP/gm across his last two while stuffing the stat sheet with scoring, rebounds, and defensive production. Unlike an injury return, there hasn’t been much need to ease him back in, and we saw that in a competitive game against Charlotte where he logged 36 minutes and led the team with a 30.7% USG%. The first game back, he was limited to 26 minutes, but that came in a 20-point blowout win, so the role looks secure in tighter contests, as this one should be (PHI -1.5). At modest projected ownership, George is a strong tournament option if he continues to play with a chip on his shoulder.

SF/SG Collin Sexton, CHI | DK: $5k, FD: $6.1k | at SAS

Sexton continues to provide strong scoring off the Bulls’ bench, averaging 20.6 PPG and an excellent 1.30 FPPM across his last five games. The peripherals aren’t a major part of his profile, but the scoring consistency has been there, with 20+ points in seven of his last 10. He’s also been somewhat immune to blowouts lately, which is notable in a spot where Chicago is a sizable underdog against a much better team. The matchup is tough against a strong Spurs defense, but Sexton’s role as a primary scoring option for this unit keeps him firmly in play. Worth noting: Sexton makes a lot more sense on DraftKings, where he’s a flat $5,000 and carries SF/SG eligibility, compared to a $6,100 price tag and guard-only eligibility on FanDuel.

PF Nae’Qwan Tomlin, CLE | DK: $3k, FD: $3.7k | at UTA

This is more of a gamble, but the setup is interesting with Cleveland listed as heavy 16.5-point road favorites while missing multiple frontcourt pieces (Allen, Strus, Tyson, Wade). Tomlin doesn’t typically see much run, but with the Cavs shorthanded and unlikely to push their starters on the front end of a back-to-back (they play the Lakers tomorrow night) in what projects as a comfortable win against a hopeless Jazz team, there’s a path for him to reach around 25 minutes. He’s averaged a serviceable 0.81 FPPM on the season, and the matchup helps, with Utah ranking dead last in DvP versus bench players over their last 20 games while allowing 1.12 FPPM to the bench forwards. If this game plays out as expected, the garbage-time run combined with near-minimum pricing makes Tomlin an intriguing punt option.

Centers to Consider 🏀

C Victor Wembanyama, SAS | DK: $11.5k, FD: $12.6k | vs. CHI

With so much value on this slate, paying up for Wembanyama is very much in play. He brings the top ceiling on the slate and has carried a 35.3% USG% and an absurd 2.01 FPPM average over his last five games. As you’d likely assume, blowout risk is the main concern here, but that hasn’t slowed him down recently, as he’s continued to post strong fantasy outputs even when playing under 30 minutes in lopsided affairs. The matchup also works in his favor, with Chicago ranking 29th in DvP versus starting centers over their last 20 games and they’ve struggled to defend the paint all season. Wembanyama already put up 75.5 DKFP in this matchup earlier this season and, if he gets close to his typical run, the upside is as high as it gets.

C Luka Garza, BOS | DK: $4.3k, FD: $3.9k | at ATL

With Nikola Vucevic still out and Neemias Queta listed as doubtful, Garza has a strong chance to pick up a spot start tonight. He’s not a must-play given some underwhelming starts earlier this season, but the per-minute production has been solid, averaging 1.09 FPPM over his last eight games, and he carries a 27.0-minute projection here. The last time he reached that workload (27 minutes on March 20 vs. MEM), he turned it into 22 points, seven rebounds, and 34.25 DKFP. It’s a tougher matchup tonight (ATL 12th in DvP vs. centers L20Games), but if the minutes hold in a starting role, he’s firmly in play at these low-end salaries.

🔥 Props AI 🔥

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we have rolled out Props AI for NBA – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks, UnderDog Fantasy, and other prop apps/sites!

That will wrap us up with today’s “Daily Dribble” edition! Once again, you can find me on Twitter/X or in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck everyone!