Written By: Ryan Humphries on Twitter/X & LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries

NBA DFS Today w/ Tyler Wiemann

No DFS video today!

🏀Tyler’s NBA prop bets can be found on the LineStar YouTube Shorts page!🏀

DFS Main Slate Rundown 📰

Seven games on the board Wednesday, and the slate splits pretty cleanly between potential blowouts and tight contests. Four games carry spreads of 12.5 points or higher, while the other three sit under five, so we’ll need to be mindful of game environments when building lineups. There are also several key questionable tags to monitor, and a few teams (IND, CHI, TOR, MIL) could be very thin depending on how news breaks. This should be a slate that rewards staying on top of updates. Let’s dive in. Best of luck!

Main Slate Match-Ups w/ Game Totals & Point Spreads

Today’s Key Injuries 🚑

^{Note: NBA injury reports can be fickle and often update throughout the day. Be sure to stay up-to-date on all injury news leading up to tip-off as the list below may be a bit outdated by the time you’re reading this.}

^{Additional Note: Players who will miss the remainder of the season will be excluded from the injury report.}

• 76ers: J. Embiid – OUT

• Wizards: T. Young – OUT, K. George – OUT, A. Sarr – OUT

• Hawks: J. Landale – Questionable

• Magic: F. Wagner – Questionable, A. Black – OUT

• Celtics: N. Vucevic – OUT

• Heat: N. Powell – OUT

• Pacers: P. Siakam – Probable, A. Nembhard – OUT, J. Walker – OUT, A. Nesmith – OUT, TJ McConnell – OUT, O. Toppin – Probable

• Bulls: J. Giddey – Questionable, A. Simons – OUT, N. Richards – Questionable, G. Yabusele – Questionable

• Kings: R. Westbrook – OUT, K. Murray – OUT

• Raptors: S. Barnes – Questionable, B. Ingram – OUT, I. Quickley – OUT, J. Battle – OUT

• Bucks: G. Antetokounmpo – OUT, R. Rollins – Questionable, K. Porter Jr. – OUT, B. Portis – OUT, K. Kuzma – OUT, M. Turner – OUT, T. Prince – OUT, G. Harris – OUT

• Rockets: None

• Knicks: J. Brunson – Questionable, M. Robinson – OUT, M. McBride – OUT

• Grizzlies: T. Jerome – OUT, T. Hendricks – DOUBTFUL, J. Wells – OUT

Top DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Plays

Note: NBA position designations are never going to perfectly align between the major DFS sites. For the purposes of these newsletters, positional designations will default to DraftKings.

Point Guards/Shooting Guards to Consider 🏀

PG Tyrese Maxey, PHI | DK: $10k, FD: $10.3k | at WAS

Maxey has stepped right back into a massive role since returning from injury, logging 43 and 44 minutes in his first two games back while topping 49 DKFP in both. With Joel Embiid out, he sees a significant +6.3% usage boost and has averaged 1.37 FPPM in that split, putting the offense squarely on his shoulders. The main concern here is blowout risk with Philly favored by 14.5, but the matchup is elite against a Washington team that ranks dead last in DvP versus starting point guards and 29th in defensive efficiency. Maxey already dropped 60+ DKFP in this matchup earlier this season in just 29 minutes, so he doesn’t necessarily need a full workload to pay off at these price points. Given how much value is available today, spending up on Maxey, who is one of the few enticing high-end guards, won’t be much of an issue.

PG/SG Tre Jones, CHI | DK: $5.9k, FD: $6.3k | vs. IND

This is one of the top game environments on the slate, featuring a massive 248.5 total and a slim 3.5-point spread. Both teams rank top-8 in pace, so this game should be played at an extremely fast tempo, hence the near-250-point over/under. Jones has been a reliable mid-range option and would get a boost if Josh Giddey (hamstring/questionable) is unable to go, but he’s been productive regardless. Even alongside Giddey, Jones has averaged a steady 1.16 FPPM and 33.4 DKFP/gm over his last 11 games. The matchup is also favorable against a depleted Pacers team that ranks 29th in DvP versus starting shooting guards over their last 20 games.

PG/SG Quenton Jackson, IND | DK: $3.3k, FD: $3.7k | at CHI

Jumping over to the other side of this matchup, Jackson sets up as a strong value option. Indiana is extremely thin in the backcourt, which should allow him to take on a larger role, and he’s a good bet to push into the 25–30 minute range tonight. With the current group of “injured” Pacers off the floor this season, Jackson has handled a hefty 29.5% USG% while averaging 1.02 FPPM. In a fast-paced, high-total environment, he stands out as one of the better salary-saving options on the slate.

Small Forwards/Power Forwards to Consider 🏀

PF Jalen Johnson, ATL | DK: $10.4k, FD: $10.5k | at ORL

This game carries real playoff implications, with Atlanta currently holding the final guaranteed playoff spot in the East, sitting 1.5 games ahead of Philadelphia and three games ahead of both Orlando and Miami. A win here would create some separation from a direct competitor, so we should see a full effort from the Hawks. The sportsbooks are also expecting a competitive affair, with Atlanta checking in as narrow 2.5-point favorites which is paired with a strong 233.5 total.

Johnson hasn’t posted one of his massive triple-doubles in a little while, but the role remains elite, especially when the offense runs through him as a primary playmaker. Over his last 20 starts, he’s averaging 22.1 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 8.2 APG, and 1.44 FPPM, which gives him one of the highest floors on the slate. The matchup is also better than it looks, with Orlando allowing the most FPPG to power forwards over their last 20 games. Johnson already flashed that upside against this team on March 16th, posting a 24/15/13 triple-double for 67.75 DKFP. At sub-10% projected ownership, he stands out as a strong tournament spend.

PF Andrew Wiggins, MIA | DK: $5.5k, FD: $6.1k | vs. BOS

Wiggins has seen his role ramp back up recently, logging 36+ minutes in back-to-back games after being eased in following his return from a toe injury. If that workload holds, he’s clearly underpriced, especially given his steady per-minute production. He’s averaged 1.05 FPPM over his last 20 starts, so mid-30s minutes in a competitive game (MIA +4.5) puts him squarely on the radar. The matchup is difficult, with Boston allowing the second-fewest FPPG to starting power forwards over their last 20 games, but Wiggins has still had success against them this season, posting 39.5 and 33.0 DKFP in two meetings. At these modest mid-range salaries, the minutes and role are enough to keep him in the mix.

PF/C Obi Toppin, IND | DK: $3.7k, FD: $4.1k | at CHI

Toppin isn’t likely to push much beyond 20 minutes, but the per-minute production makes him appealing at these price points. He’s been especially effective lately, averaging 1.32 FPPM over his last five games, and recently turned 23 minutes into 37.5 DKFP against the Clippers. Indiana is thin, primarily in the backcourt, but that still pushes more usage and playmaking into Toppin’s hands. As mentioned, this matchup should be played at an exceptionally fast tempo with a near-250 total, giving him plenty of chances to rack up stats even in limited run.

Centers to Consider 🏀

C/PF Pascal Siakam, IND | DK: $8.2k, FD: $7.7k | at CHI

Center is pretty thin on this slate, so Siakam leads off this section thanks to his dual PF/C eligibility on both sites. With Indiana down a handful of starters and rotation pieces, he should take on a major offensive role once again. He is at a 35.5% USG% over his last five games and has averaged 1.37 FPPM with the Pacers’ currently injured players off the floor this season – a significant bump from his 1.19 FPPM baseline average. He’s clearly the focal point when on the floor, and that was on full display last game with a 40.2% USG% and 55.75 DKFP in just over 31 minutes. The minutes likely land in the low-30s again, and that’s more than enough given the role and efficiency. In a fast-paced matchup with Chicago, Siakam stands out as one of the stronger spend-up options at a weak position.

C Sandro Mamukelashvili, TOR | DK: $4.1k, FD: $5.2k | vs. SAC

Mamukelashvili has been one of the better per-minute producers on the slate. He’s averaged an excellent 1.47 FPPM and 32.7 DKFP/gm over his last five games – one of those came in a spot start with a 32-minute workload, but he has been returning value while playing far fewer minutes off the bench over the last four games. He projects for 21.0 minutes tonight, which keeps him firmly in the value mix, especially on DraftKings at $4,100. The matchup also works in his favor, with Sacramento ranking 26th in DvP versus backup centers over their last 20 games.

🔥 Props AI 🔥

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we have rolled out Props AI for NBA – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks, UnderDog Fantasy, and other prop apps/sites!

That will wrap us up with today’s “Daily Dribble” edition! Once again, you can find me on Twitter/X or in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck everyone!