Written By: Ryan Humphries on Twitter/X & LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries

NBA DFS Today w/ Tyler Wiemann

No NBA video today!

🏀Tyler’s NBA prop bets can be found on the LineStar YouTube Shorts page!🏀

DFS Main Slate Rundown 📰

A volatile eight-game main slate hits the board this evening. This is about as chaotic a late-season NBA slate as you’ll see. Of the eight games, only one (MIN at PHI) features a matchup where both teams are heading to the playoffs. As a result, there are six potential blowout spots with spreads ranging from 13.5 to 17.5 points. Of course, large spreads don’t guarantee blowouts, but it’s something to keep in mind today. Let’s see if we can find the right pieces. Best of luck!

Main Slate Match-Ups w/ Game Totals & Point Spreads

Today’s Key Injuries 🚑

^{Note: NBA injury reports can be fickle and often update throughout the day. Be sure to stay up-to-date on all injury news leading up to tip-off as the list below may be a bit outdated by the time you’re reading this.}

Top DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Plays

Note: NBA position designations are never going to perfectly align between the major DFS sites. For the purposes of these newsletters, positional designations will default to DraftKings.

Point Guards/Shooting Guards to Consider 🏀

PG Amen Thompson, HOU | DK: $7.8k, FD: $8.4k | vs. UTA

With several potential blowouts on this slate, it’s tough to feel great about paying up outside of a couple of games. That said, Amen Thompson is one of the few players who can still get there even if things get out of hand, as he typically maintains strong minutes regardless of game script. Thompson profiles more as a steady floor option, but he still carries 50+ DKFP upside in the right spot. He sets up well today, with Utah allowing 1.26 FPPM to starting point guards over their last 20 games, which could give a slight boost to his 1.09 FPPM mark over his last 20 starts. The Jazz also rank 29th in defensive rating, and Houston carries a 125.5 implied total. Utah has been surprisingly competitive in some recent matchups against much better teams, so perhaps they’ll find a way to keep this one close as well.

SG/SF Ayo Dosunmu, MIN | DK: $7k, FD: $7.5k | at PHI

This is clearly the top game environment on the slate, so it makes sense to target multiple pieces here. Ayo Dosunmu has stepped up in a big way with Anthony Edwards (knee/questionable) and Jaden McDaniels sidelined, and even with Edwards returning in a limited role on Monday (23 minutes off the bench), Dosunmu still posted a massive 18/15/12 triple-double. He’s up to 1.45 FPPM over his last five starts and continues to operate as a do-it-all contributor. Even if Edwards is active again, Dosunmu should remain heavily involved. Both of these teams have been playing at top-10 paces over their last 10 games, which sets up a strong environment with plenty of possessions and stat opportunities.

PG/SG Ethan Thompson, IND | DK: $4.2k, FD: $4.6k | at CHA

With Indiana dealing with multiple backcourt injuries, there’s value to target here. It’s still somewhat uncertain which guard steps up the most, but Ethan Thompson is expected to draw the start after erupting for 42.5 DKFP in 31 minutes against Chicago on Wednesday. Even in that blowout, he played nearly the entire fourth quarter, which is encouraging with the Pacers being sizable underdogs tonight (+15.5). There are a few cheap guards in play from this roster, but Thompson stands out as perhaps the best bets for strong minutes, and projects for just under 30 minutes in this spot.

Small Forwards/Power Forwards to Consider 🏀

SF/PF Paul George, PHI | DK: $7.9k, FD: $8.7k | vs. MIN

George has been on a heater, topping 54.5 DKFP in three of his four games since returning from his 25-game suspension. Over that stretch, he’s averaged 28.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 3.5 APG, 3.5 STL+BLK/gm, and an elite 1.62 FPPM. The matchups have been favorable during this run, and Minnesota presents more resistance, but the upside is hard to ignore at these price points. As noted already, this projects as the most competitive game on the slate, which should help keep George in a strong minutes and usage role throughout.

PF/C Kyle Filipowski, UTA | DK: $7.2k, FD: $7.8k | at HOU

It’s always tough to fully trust Jazz players, but Filipowski has been in absurd form lately. Over his last four games, he’s averaged 24.0 PPG, 9.8 RPG, and 4.0 APG, good for 47.1 DKFP/gm and an incredible 1.73 FPPM. What’s even more impressive is that he’s doing this in just over 27 minutes per game. Houston presents a tougher test as a slow-paced, defensive-minded team, so this isn’t the softest spot on the board. Still, with how productive he’s been on a per-minute basis, it’s worth seeing if he can keep this run going, especially on a slate that comes preloaded with a ton of volatility.

SF/PF Kobe Brown, IND | DK: $3.9k, FD: $4.8k | at CHA

Back to the Pacers for some value, this time at forward. Kobe Brown has posted 35.5 and 36.0 DKFP in his last two games and drew the start against Chicago on Wednesday. He’s shown the ability to contribute across scoring, rebounding, and facilitating, and projects for around 30 minutes again here. It’s fair to question whether he can sustain the recent level of production, but at these price points, anything in the 25–30 DKFP range would still return strong value.

Centers to Consider 🏀

C Alperen Sengun, HOU | DK: $9k, FD: $9.9k | vs. UTA

Unlike Amen Thompson, Sengun is more likely to see his minutes capped if this game gets out of hand. Still, few players on this slate offer the kind of ceiling he brings. He has two performances of 76+ DKFP in his last six starts and already torched Utah earlier this season for a 31/8/14 line with five blocks and two steals (76.5 DKFP). We’ll likely need this game to stay somewhat competitive to get a true ceiling outcome, but Utah has been more competitive than expected lately. If that holds again, Sengun has clear slate-breaking upside in this spot.

C Ryan Kalkbrenner, CHA | DK: $3.3k, FD: $4k | vs. IND

Moussa Diabate was a late addition to the injury report and is now questionable with ankle soreness. If he sits, Kalkbrenner would likely draw the start and stand out as an excellent value option. Even if Diabate is active, Kalkbrenner has shown he can still produce off the bench, posting 28.25 DKFP in 23 minutes against Phoenix last game. The matchup is favorable either way. Indiana has allowed the sixth-most FPPG to reserve players over their last 20 games, and if Kalkbrenner starts, he’d also benefit from a Pacers team that ranks 25th in DvP versus starting centers over that span.

🔥 Props AI 🔥

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we have rolled out Props AI for NBA – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks, UnderDog Fantasy, and other prop apps/sites!

That will wrap us up with today’s “Daily Dribble” edition! Once again, you can find me on Twitter/X or in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck everyone!