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- Top NBA Plays 11/25 | The Week Upcoming
Top NBA Plays 11/25 | The Week Upcoming
With the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday, it's an interesting week for NBA DFS purposes. There's a loaded 11-game card to kick off Monday but just 2 games Tuesday and none on Thanksgiving. We'll pick and choose our battles this week, ultimately hopefully culminating in being thankful for profits.
Tonight's DFS Headlines
The Cavs are favored for the very first time this season as they host a Nets team on a back-to-back after beating the Knicks by two yesterday. Cleveland doesn't score, but the betting total is higher at 217.5.
Speaking of don't score, the Magic @ Pistons game is one to either a) ignore or b) attack for contrarian purposes, as the total is just 206.5. These are 2 of the 7 slowest pace teams in the league.
Kemba Walker could miss the game for Boston tonight and oddsmakers are calling their game with the Kings another projected low-scoring affair with an O/U of just 207. Tremont Waters ($3k) has been recalled from the G-League for a possible GPP play.
It's not all slow and prodding plays tonight, as the Timberwolves and Hawks are both top 10 in possessions per game and the betting total for this one is up there at 236.5.
Utah also gets a nice 6.05 possession pace boost when they travel to face the Bucks. The Jazz' #1 defense is going to take a hit tonight - especially if Rudy Gobert misses his second straight game with an ankle injury.
There's no love lost between the Lakers - specifically LeBron James ($11.2k) - and the Spurs. LA has gone 6-1 on the road and wants to win by a much larger margin than the LAL -4.5 spread.
Guards
Evan Fournier DK $6.4k | FD $5.9k
Detroit has averaged less than 110 ppg allowed over the last 3 games but there should still be plenty of opportunities for Orlando's Evan Fournier to score. He shot the ball 23 times on Saturday which should continue as the Magic play without Aaron Gordon and Nikola Vucevic tonight. Jonathan Isaac ($7.9k) is the big benefactor with those two out (+14.3 fp), but is a much bigger risk at nearly $8k. Chicago's Shaq Harrison just scored a 45.25 fp night in 27 minutes vs. the Detroit back court last Wednesday.
Malcolm Brogdon DK $6.0k | $8.5k
DraftKings is begging you to roster Malcolm Brogdon tonight as he returns from a back injury. Brogdon's production had waned a bit prior to him missing the last 3 games with a ceiling of 39 in the four games prior. With that price, you don't need a huge night for value, plus Indiana's opponent is the Grizzlies, who have the 8th worst defensive efficiency while running the league's #6 fastest pace. Jamal Murray had his big 67.5 night vs. Ja Morant and Memphis last week.
Coby White DK $5.4k | FD $5.2k
Coby White's minutes are an enigma but when he plays, he produces. That was evident Saturday in a 12-19 shooting night in 34 minutes at Charlotte. The last time White went for 30+ minutes, he had a 9-23 shooting night from the field en route to a 44 point fantasy night. The only problem is, there 4 games in between where White logged minutes of 29, 25, 23, and 21. The Bulls play a Portland back court that is exploitable tonight, and the Trail Blazers could be without Hassan Whiteside defending the middle for the 3rd straight game. Chicago's Zach Lavine also didn't do himself any playing time favors over the weekend by criticizing Chicago's coach Jim Boylen saying "you can't trust somebody that doesn't trust you" - so that also bodes well for White.
๐๐ Other Likes / Dislikes ๐๐
Trae Young ($9.8k) looks to be in a very up tempo game against Milwaukee tonight and went for 38/8/10 when the teams met up last February (in OT). Donovan Mitchell averages 20.8 fga/game and that number could/should increase even more against Milwaukee's #2 pace tonight.
Forwards
De'Andre Hunter DK $5.6k | FD $5.5k
He has rewarded well lately and no reason to go away from De'Andre Hunter tonight, as the price has stayed manageable and it's Atlanta vs. Milwaukee. The rookie from Virginia has two 25+ real point scoring games in his last three and also had an 11 rebound game mixed in there. Milwaukee just allowed a 50 fantasy point night to Kelly Oubre, Jr. on Saturday and 43 to Bojan Bogdanovic the game prior.
Jayson Tatum $6.9k | $8.2k
Gordon Hayward is already on the bench for the Celtics and it's looking like Kemba Walker will join him tonight with a neck injury. That opens up usage for Jayson Tatum, who gets an 8.3% court time boost with those two out of the lineup. Well, he was always getting the minutes, it's just now more scoring opportunities for the Boston F who has 23+ real points in 4 of the last 6 as it is. The Kings have played much better defense this season, but Sacramento is also on 0 days rest when they visit Boston after playing Washington on Sunday.
Andrew Wiggins DK $7.6k | $8.4k
Might as well attack the Hawks @ T'Wolves matchup considering the betting total is 236, the highest number of the night. Andrew Wiggins has lost a little rhythm after missing three games, but in the two tilts since returning he's at least gotten the minutes (34,36) and the field goal attempts (24, 21). Wiggins has yet to break a 40 point fantasy night in either of those games but has a great matchup with the Hawks who have the 5th worst defensive efficiency in the league. This is also a battle of 2 of the top 9 teams in pace, so the opportunities will be there.
๐๐๐ Other Likes / Dislikes ๐๐๐
LeBron James ($11.2k) has reinvented himself this season as more of a facilitator. One thing that will probably remain constant is his disdain for the Spurs though, after averaging 36 points, 9 rebounds, and 8 assists vs. San Antonio last year. It could be Jaylen Brown ($6.8k) that gets the boost in Walker's absence for Boston. As one LineStar user pointed out, Lauri Markkanen ($5.5k) has the price and matchup vs. Portland but isn't "a play for the faint of heart."
Center
Bam Adebayo DK $7.1k | FD $8.8k
There are some headliner bigs on tonight's slate including Towns and Embiid which should help keep the ownership low for Bam Adebayo. The Miami C has a favorable matchup with Charlotte, who has allowed above average DFS output to Wendell Carter Jr., Thomas Bryant, and Jarrett Allen over the last 3 games. The Hornets have allowed that trio to shoot 24/34 (71%) and Allen had a 17 rebound night last Thursday. Adebayo is coming off a horrible 19 fp outing on Saturday, but played just 26 minutes as the Heat were getting beat by 27 on leg two of the back-to-back. Here's hoping Charlotte doesn't return the favor of getting blown out as +10.5 road underdogs tonight.
Bam Adebayo is a Defensive Player of the Year in the makingโhe's also become a spectacular big man playmaker, averaging 4.5 assists per game.
Miami runs offense through Bam in the half-court and lets him run the show on the break. What a player. @ringer theringer.com/nba/2019/11/22โฆ
โ Kevin O'Connor (@KevinOConnorNBA)
4:38 PM โข Nov 22, 2019
๐๐ Other Likes / Dislikes ๐๐
You gotta figure Karl-Anthony Towns ($10.4k) in the T'Wolves @ Hawks game that has a total of 236. Joel Embiid ($8.8k) has been held to 50 fp or less in four straight and faces the #1 defense vs. the C in Toronto. Tristan Thompson ($6.8k) has a very favorable matchup with a Nets team that is atrocious on the blocks defensively but is also in a back-to-back.
Lots of options and angles to pursue in such a jam-packed slate. The opposite occurs tomorrow night with just a 2-gamer but it's a great opportunity to put varying strategies in play. Until then you can follow me, Carl Taylor (@dailydogsports), on Twitter for more daily fantasy and sports betting talk and make sure to check out the LineStar chat.
Freeroll
The NBA freeroll contests will take place on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday on DraftKings:
Here's a link for today's freeroll contest - good luck!
1st Place: Your Choice: One month LineStar premium membership, a LineStar T-Shirt or $10 via PayPal.
Bonus: If you place 1st in the LineStar Freeroll and you are using the LineStar avatar below, you can choose 2 prizes.
Please Note: While you may enter the LineStar freeroll as often as youโd like, you can only win a prize 1 time.
Winners: DM us on Twitter with a screenshot of your win to claim your prize.
๐ฅ SuperDraft Multiplier Must-Play
Today's SuperDraft multiplier must-play is Trae Young. This becomes a Rec League game with Milwaukee's #2 pace as Young should have at least 25 shot attempts and over a dozen assists.
๐จ Bonus: Get 3 Free Months of LineStar Premium
Get 3-months of LineStar Premium for new users to SuperDraft who deposit/play $10!
Terms: Partnership offers do NOT renew. See SuperDraft landing page for full terms and conditions. Must be a new user to SuperDraft and deposit and play a minimum of $10 to qualify. If you have an existing LineStar Premium subscription you get a Hat/Tee/Pen combo instead of the 3-months.