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Top NBA Plays 4/28| Inflation Sensation
Prices are climbing lately and it seems that anybody even with the potential to hit 15 real points is going to cost you $7.5k. That could be due to the season winding down and so many players being an unknown. Maybe we'll have to consider 'value' hitting 4 or 5X from now on. It's a huge 10-game slate, so there are some game changers out there - just have to find them.
Today's NBA Matchups
Magic @ Cavaliers (-3), O/U 211.5, 7:00 PM ET
Oddsmakers just threw a number out there, giving Cleveland the 3 points for a home game like you'd see in football betting. These two teams are a combined 3-17 in their last 20 and are close to pulling fans out of the stands to play games.
Hawks @ Sixers (-8), O/U 220, 7:00 PM ET
Philly being 8-point favorites immediately tells you Trae Young is out for his 4th straight game which is the case. The Sixers on the flip side have gotten healthy, with Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris, and Ben Simmons all playing Monday vs. OKC.
Lakers (-3) @ Wizards, O/U 224, 7:30 PM ET
Why are the Lakers favored here? Is their injury news coming for Washington, who had won 8 straight before falling by 3 in OT to the Spurs but also while playing on the back-to-back. Just a strange line.
Hornets @ Celtics (-7.5), O/U 218.5, 7:30 PM ET
Can Charlotte repeat their 125-104 win over the Celtics on Sunday, but this time in Boston? Both teams are on the b2b, and although the Celtics get Jayson Tatum (rest) back tonight, they just suffered an embarrassing 4-point home loss to OKC last night.
Bulls @ Knicks (-5.5), O/U 208.5 7:30 PM ET
The Knicks try to get back on the wagon after their 9-game win streak was snapped by the Suns on Monday. Thibs gets a chance to do that against his old Bulls team, a squad that has quietly rattled off wins in 4 of their last 5.
Spurs @ Heat (-5), O/U 209, 8:00 PM ET
The Spurs have won 5 of their last 6, with 4 of those coming on the road. That would give San Antonio some target value against a Heat team that just lost at home to Chicago, but this one doesn't look to be very high scoring.
Trail Blazers @ Grizzlies (-2), O/U 235 9:00 PM ET
Can Portland return the favor after Memphis beat them twice last week at the Moda Center? Those Grizzlies wins came by the score of 130-128 and 120-113 so they can definitely score against this Trail Blazers defense. Portland is also on the b2b after winning 133-112 at Indiana last night.
Pelicans @ Nuggets (-4), O/U 228.5, 9:00 PM ET
The Pelicans could be in trouble in this one, as their only wins in the last 7 games have come against Orlando and a shorthanded Clippers team. Denver has won 6 of 7, putting up 120+ in 5 of those games.
Clippers @ Suns (-3.5), O/U 222.5 10:00 PM ET
Paul George (ankle) is expected back for the Clippers, but still no Kawhi Leonard. Nice night to target the Suns backcourt.
Jazz (-8) @ Kings, O/U 226 10:00 PM ET
This will be the Kings' third game in the last four nights, so it looks like a great spot for the Jazz to get back on track - that's what we said in Utah's last two games up against Minnesota though.
Tonight's Point Guard / Shooting Guard Notables
Ja Morant DK $8.2k | FD $8.1k
vs. Portland
Why not? Ja Morant averaged 52fp in two wins over the Trail Blazers last week and that was in Portland. Now he's back in Memphis, taking on a Portland team on the back to back. Morant has hit for 44+ fp in four of the last five overall, and 46+ in his last four vs. Portland. 🔒
Chris Paul DK $7.6k | FD $8.2k
vs. LAC
PGs are stacking the stat sheet vs. the Clippers right now as they play without Patrick Beverley. Ja Morant hit 38fp, Lonzo Ball and CJ McCollum 43+, and John Wall 56 in the last four vs. L.A. Chris Paul doesn't produce as well at home lately, but at the same time the Clippers are giving up 40+ fppg to PGs on the road over the last month so something has to give.
Derrick Rose DK $5.4k | FD $6.2k
vs. Chicago
Not only does this have the former team angle, but Derrick Rose has been playing well lately with a perfect lineup in three straight and 30+ in four of five.
🍺Other Likes🍕 - Cole Anthony ($6.3) won't win you a GPP but he isn't going to kill you either with 34-39 points in five of the last six. Solid matchup with Cleveland.
Tonight's SF / PF Notables
Jaylen Brown DK $8.5k | FD $8.1
vs. Charlotte
One of the few value plays around tonight, as Jaylen Brown has potential for another 7X+ night if Kemba Walker and/or Jayson Tatum sit. Brown is on the b2b, but exploded for 67fp on 26 shots last night. There's a little revenge factor brewing after the Hornets embarrassed the C's by 25 this weekend as well.
Tobias Harris DK $7.4k | FD $7k
vs. Atlanta
Past results aren't the greatest as Tobias Harris hasn't gone over 30fp in the last three games, but one of those he was coming back from injury, and the other two were blowouts. Tonight's matchup with Atlanta is when things get back on track, as the Hawks are giving up an average of 17/7/4 to opposing PFs and rank last vs. the position over the past month. Julius Randle and Giannis Antetokounmpo have both gone for 60+ vs. the Hawks in the last four.
RJ Barrett DK $6.6k | FD $6.1k
vs. Chicago
Great pricing for a dude who launches (15+ fga in six straight). The Bulls have been pretty solid defensively vs. the SF position, but that's what will drive ownership down. Then if RJ Barrett can get some minutes at SG, where Chicago is 29th defensively the past month then lookout.
Tonight's Center Position Notables
Bam Adebayo DK $8.7k | FD $8.3k
vs. San Antonio
Can we pencil in 50+ fp here? It's looking like a low scoring game vs. the Spurs, but then again Bam Adebayo went for 23/8/5 vs. San Antonio a week ago for a 48fp night. That's no fluke, as the Spurs are 28th defensively vs. starting C's over the past month, and Adebayo has hit the perfect lineup in two of the last four.
Jusuf Nurkic DK $6.8k | FD $8.3k
@Memphis
Jusuf Nurkic disappointed last night with just 34fp against a horrible Indiana interior defense, but he also only played 20 points in the Trail Blazers blowout win. Preserving minutes is great for tonight's meeting with a Memphis team that is last defensively vs. the C position the last month (43fppg) and who Nurkic has absolutely dominated with four straight 50+ games.
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You can follow me, Carl Taylor (@dailydogsports), on Twitter for more daily fantasy and sports betting talk and make sure to check out the LineStar chat.
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