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Top NBA Plays Friday December 3rd|Santi Claus Came Early
If you missed last night's slate, the big news was Memphis PF/C Santi Aldama going for 18/10/3 for a 13X night (40.5fp) as a $3k player. That's after Jae'Sean Tate hit for 69fp as a $5.4k player on Wednesday (nearly 13X) so who is going to be launching the bombs on tonight's 9 game card.
I couldn't find any ownership on Aldama last night who had a previous high of 13 fp this season, although it was kind of hard to predict the Grizzlies setting an NBA record with a 73-point win over the Thunder.
Tonight's biggest spread is the Jazz -8 over the Celtics, so in this copycat league are we about to see 28% ownership on Miye Oni?
The Suns and Warriors also meet up again and it's a battle of L.A. when the Lakers and Clippers Clash. Quite the night ahead.
BREAKING: SANTI ALDAMA NOW HAS THE THIRD-HIGHEST SINGLE GAME PLUS/MINUS IN NBA HISTORY AT +52
— Peter Edmiston (@peteredmiston)
3:17 AM • Dec 3, 2021
Tonight's Key NBA Matchups
Heat @ Pacers (5.5), O/U 206.5 7:00 ET
Another tough injury blow for the Heat as Bam Adebayo is expected to miss up to 6 weeks with a thumb injury. With Jimmy Butler battling a tailbone injury, it's Kyle Lowry (+13.57fp) and Caleb Martin (+10.59) that get the best boosts. It could be an Indiana front court target night as well.
Cavs @ Wizards (-2.5), O/U 208.5 7:00 ET
This isn't breaking news, but the Cavs are kind of a fun team. They've got five starters under 25 and all former 1st round picks and then bring Kevin Love and Ricky Rubio off the bench. Cleveland just demolished Miami 111-85 last time out but their biggest problem (for DFS purposes) is too much balance.
Feelin' the Love ❤️🔥
@keybank | #LetEmKnow
— Cleveland Cavaliers (@cavs)
6:00 PM • Dec 3, 2021
Timberwolves @ Nets (7.5), O/U 222.5 7:30 ET
Highest betting total of the night so it gets some looks, and Karl-Anthony Towns hopes to play even after taking a hard fall at the end of Wednesday's 115-107 loss to the Wizards.
Karl Anthony Towns momentum makes him fall hard on his back after the dunk
— hoops bot (@hoops_bot)
2:47 AM • Dec 2, 2021
Pelicans @ Mavs (-6.5), O/U 216 8:30 ET
This is a rematch of Wednesday's 139-107 Dallas beatdown, their second win of 18+ points over the Pelicans in two matchups. Luka Doncic still managed a 55fp night at $11.6k in just 27 minutes on Wednesday, so he has some value if New Orleans could possibly keep this one close.
Suns @ Warriors (-7), O/U 216 10:00 ET
Game of the Year 2.0 in just a matter of days after the Suns toppled 104-96 on Tuesday in Phoenix. The Suns get a bad draw for the rematch considering they played Detroit last night (114-103) extending the current win streak to 18. It's hard to imagine Devin Booker (hamstring) suiting up for this one.
#ValleyProud
Devin Booker (left hamstring strain), Frank Kaminsky (right knee stress reaction), Abdel Nader (right knee injury management), and Dario Saric (torn right ACL) will all be sidelined for tonight matchup against the Golden State Warriors
#Week13
— Noelani (@noelanimaynard)
3:54 PM • Dec 3, 2021
Clippers @ Lakers (-1.5), O/U 218.5 10:00 ET
This game got flexed out of the nationally televised ESPN schedule for Suns at Wizards - that going to matter to any of these players? The Clips' have lost three in a row (all at home) but should get Paul George back after he rested Wednesday in a loss to the Kings. Lebron James is also somewhat unexpectedly back after his COVID test was deemed a false positive.
Tonight's Point Guard / Shooting Guard Notables
Luka Doncic DK $11.8k FD $10.5k vs. Pelicans
Big "if" is if New Orleans can keep this game close, but Doncic still had 55fp in a 32 point blowout on Wednesday.
Has a 54 point floor over four games since returning from an ankle/knee injury
Could see more rest in a blowout, because Dallas hosts Memphis tomorrow night. Still a play though
Kyle Lowry DK $7.8k | FD $6.5k @Indiana
Crazy FD pricing with Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler out of the lineup (+3.34% usage, +13.57fp)
Just 20fp last game, but in a 26-point blowout loss
Had been trending up, 39+ fp in three of the previous four
Pacers have allowed 42+ fp to four straight PGs
Gary Harris DK $4k | FD $4.8k @Houston
Never going to take down a GPP, but a nice consistent 23-26 fp in three of the last four games (6X DK price)
A favorable matchup against Houston's #2 pace, #28 opponent points/game
Tonight's SF / PF Notables
Evan Mobley DK $6.7k | FD $7.7k @ Washington
Probably a play to avoid on FD, but DK pricing looks doable
Coming off 17/11/4 (48fp) and that was in a 26 point blowout win over Miami
Peripheral guy with multiple blocks in six straight
Cedi Osman and Dean Wade continue to sit in Cleveland front court
Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley combined for 9 blocks tonight 🔒
— NBACentral (@TheNBACentral)
2:42 AM • Dec 2, 2021
Jae'Sean Tate DK $6k | FD $7.5k vs. Orlando
Sure it's a chase after 71fp, and not touching the FD price but $6k on DK is doable
71fp outing had a lot to do with Wood and Porter going down, and they're both still questionable tonight (but Wood is likely to play)
Aside from the 71, had posted 28+fp in four of six which is pushing DK value
Orlando has 6th worst defensive efficiency in the league
Jae'Sean Tate tonight:
32 Points
10 Rebounds
7 Assists
5 Blocks
2 Steals
73% FG— Hoop Central (@TheHoopCentral)
3:30 AM • Dec 2, 2021
Kevin Huerter DK $5.1k | FD $4.8k vs. Philadelphia
Worth a few shares just to see if he is a "Sixers Killer" after going for 17/11/4 and 27/7/3 in games 6 and 7 of last years playoffs
Philadelphia allowing 30.88 fppg to SF starters (6X)
Otto Porter DK $4.8k | FD $4.6k vs. Phoenix
May be too early to tell, but slight minute increase last two (26, 30) with 10 and 11 shots
Should be a close game with Phoenix, who is on an 18 game win streak
Suns on second leg of a back to back, and rank 29th vs. reserves as it is
Tonight's Center Position Notables
Christian Wood DK $9.3k | FD $8.6k vs. Orlando
Houston is expecting a healthy Wood tonight after he left the OKC game with an ankle injury
2fp in 9 minutes Wednesday should drive away some ownership
Had posted 60 burgers in two games prior (18.5 rpg) and Orlando allows 8th most opponent rebounds
Actually gets a 10% usage boost in the 43 minutes he's played without Kevin Porter (questionable - thigh) this season
LaMarcus Aldridge DK $6k | FD $5.7k vs. Minnesota
Solid price point against Minnesota team that struggles vs. front court player
Daniel Gafford just put up 18/10 in win over T'Wolves Wednesday, Sabonis had 66 (playing C spot with Turner out) and Embiid 70fp last three C's vs. Minnesota
Possible KAT doesn't play/isn't 100% (tailbone bruise) but that could be good or bad
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