Top NBA Plays Friday November 12th| 🚩 Red Flag Games

One of the approaches to having DFS success is reading the betting lines, and Miss Cleo would have a field day trying to see into tonight's 11-game slate. Four teams are home underdogs of 3 points or less (Charlotte, Boston, Memphis, San Antonio) and the Lakers are just -2 point favorites at home vs. a Minnesota team that has lost six straight.

Let's see if the spidey senses are right on these games being a bit off or if this is just a classic case of overthinking. On to the docket:

Tonight's Key NBA Matchups

Bucks (-1.5) @ Celtics, O/U 211.5 7:30 PM ET

The Bucks are favored tonight in Boston despite playing their 4th straight road game and with Giannis Antetokounmpo (ankle) on the injury report (probable). Boston plays their 3rd game without Jaylen Brown (hamstring).

Suns (-2) @ Grizzlies, O/U 222.5 8:00 PM ET

Phoenix has rattled off six straight wins but this still looks like it will be a nice close matchup between two Western Conference contenders. Deandre Ayton (leg) remains doubtful for the Suns and Dillon Brooks (hand) is out for Memphis.

Nets (-9) @ Pelicans, O/U 215 8:00 PM ET

Is this a blowout game for Brooklyn? The Pelicans are in an 8 game skid losing by a dozen points in each of their four recent road games and then falling 108-100 to the lowly Thunder in their return to the Smoothie King Center on Wednesday.

Kings (-4.5) @ Thunder , O/U 219.5 8:00 PM ET

OKC is a rare target tonight after the Kings gave up 136 points to the Spurs on Wednesday. Sacramento has allowed the 5th most points in the league this year, the 3rd most in the NBA last season.

Hawks @ Nuggets (-4), O/U 214.5 9:00 PM ET

Denver was able to get a 101-98 win over the Pacers on Wednesday even while playing without Nikola Jokic who was serving a 1-game suspension for his role in an altercation with the Heat. The Nuggets are the best in the league allowing just 98.5 ppg.

Bulls @ Wizards (-5.5), O/U 222.5 10:00 PM ET

A close game should be expected here between the 8-3 Bulls and the 10-1 Warriors. Then again Golden State has rattled off six straight wins, scoring 120+ in the last four.

Timberwolves @ Lakers (-2), O/U 222.5 10:30 PM ET

This could be a Minnesota target game because the Lakers being just -2 point favorites raises a red flag. The T'Wolves have lost six straight, so who cares if Lebron James (abdominal) is likely out?

Tonight's Point Guard / Shooting Guard Notables

Russell Westbrook DK $11.2k | FD $9.9k vs. Minnesota

  • Still decently priced on FD

  • Got to play the birthday angle 🎂 as Brodie turns 33 today

  • T'Wolves run #3 pace in NBA, have 23rd ranked scoring defense

  • +4% usage, +12.53 fp with James and Rajon Rondo out

Dejounte Murray DK $9.4k | FD $9.5k vs. Dallas

  • Averaging 23/9.5/8 in two games vs. Mavericks this season

  • 52fp in both games vs. Dallas

  • Mavs have allowed 34+ fp to 4 of past 5 PGs

  • 40fp floor in 7 of the last 8 overall

Will Barton DK $6.9k | FD $6.7k vs. Atlanta

  • Still priced under $7k despite 6X 3 of the last 4

  • 19+ shots in 3 of the last 4

  • Atlanta has allowed higher than average to 3 of the last 4 SGs

Josh Giddey DK $6.4k | FD $6k vs. Sacramento

  • Pushing 6X this price in 5 of the last 8

  • Kings are 5th worst in opponent points/game

Jalen Brunson DK $5.9k | FD $5.7k at San Antonio

  • Averaging 25 real points in two games vs. Spurs this season

  • Has 37 and 53 fp vs. San Antonio (one start)

Tonight's SF / PF Notables

Jayson Tatum DK $10.1k | FD $9.6k vs. Milwaukee

  • Good cash play as 50fp seems like the floor here

  • 57fp and 52 fp in two games without Jaylen Brown

  • Took 24 shots on Wednesday

  • 50fp floor in two of three games vs. Bucks last season

Anthony Edwards DK $8.1| FD $8.1k at Lakers

  • Coming off 66 fp vs. Golden State on Wednesday

  • 19+ shots in every game this season

  • Lakers allow 3rd most ppg this season

DeMar DeRozan DK $8.5k | FD $8.7k @Golden State

  • Playing the Vucevic (COVID) bump, +10.52% usage, +21.95 fp

  • Ownership should stay lower vs. Golden State's #1 defense

  • GSW just allowed 66fp to Anthony Edwards at the SF spot

Jaren Jackson, Jr. DK $6.2k | FD $6.5k vs. Phoenix

  • Suns missing Deandre Ayton in the front court

  • 32fp floor last four games

  • 30fp floor in last three games vs. Suns

Josh Richardson DK $3.3k | FD $4.8k vs. Milwaukee

  • Great DK pricing after 31 and 33 minutes last two games

  • Minutes boost moving forward with Jaylen Brown out

  • Milwaukee 6th in pace

Tonight's Center Position Notables

Jarrett Allen DK $7.8k | FD $7.7k vs. Detroit

  • Just a $300 increase from 39 fp Wednesday

  • 6X in 3 of the last 5

  • Detroit 20th in opponent rebounds/game

Bobby Portis DK $6k | FD $5.8k @ Boston

  • Lower ownership following 24fp Wednesday

  • 24fp came on 2nd leg of back to back

  • 44+fp in two of the last three

  • Antetokounmpo (ankle) GTD

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You can follow me, Carl Taylor (@dailydogsports), on Twitter for more daily fantasy and sports betting talk and make sure to check out the LineStar chat.

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