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- Top NBA Plays Friday November 12th| 🚩 Red Flag Games
Top NBA Plays Friday November 12th| 🚩 Red Flag Games
One of the approaches to having DFS success is reading the betting lines, and Miss Cleo would have a field day trying to see into tonight's 11-game slate. Four teams are home underdogs of 3 points or less (Charlotte, Boston, Memphis, San Antonio) and the Lakers are just -2 point favorites at home vs. a Minnesota team that has lost six straight.
Let's see if the spidey senses are right on these games being a bit off or if this is just a classic case of overthinking. On to the docket:
Tonight's Key NBA Matchups
Bucks (-1.5) @ Celtics, O/U 211.5 7:30 PM ET
The Bucks are favored tonight in Boston despite playing their 4th straight road game and with Giannis Antetokounmpo (ankle) on the injury report (probable). Boston plays their 3rd game without Jaylen Brown (hamstring).
Suns (-2) @ Grizzlies, O/U 222.5 8:00 PM ET
Phoenix has rattled off six straight wins but this still looks like it will be a nice close matchup between two Western Conference contenders. Deandre Ayton (leg) remains doubtful for the Suns and Dillon Brooks (hand) is out for Memphis.
Nets (-9) @ Pelicans, O/U 215 8:00 PM ET
Is this a blowout game for Brooklyn? The Pelicans are in an 8 game skid losing by a dozen points in each of their four recent road games and then falling 108-100 to the lowly Thunder in their return to the Smoothie King Center on Wednesday.
Kings (-4.5) @ Thunder , O/U 219.5 8:00 PM ET
OKC is a rare target tonight after the Kings gave up 136 points to the Spurs on Wednesday. Sacramento has allowed the 5th most points in the league this year, the 3rd most in the NBA last season.
Hawks @ Nuggets (-4), O/U 214.5 9:00 PM ET
Denver was able to get a 101-98 win over the Pacers on Wednesday even while playing without Nikola Jokic who was serving a 1-game suspension for his role in an altercation with the Heat. The Nuggets are the best in the league allowing just 98.5 ppg.
Bulls @ Wizards (-5.5), O/U 222.5 10:00 PM ET
A close game should be expected here between the 8-3 Bulls and the 10-1 Warriors. Then again Golden State has rattled off six straight wins, scoring 120+ in the last four.
Timberwolves @ Lakers (-2), O/U 222.5 10:30 PM ET
This could be a Minnesota target game because the Lakers being just -2 point favorites raises a red flag. The T'Wolves have lost six straight, so who cares if Lebron James (abdominal) is likely out?
Tonight's Point Guard / Shooting Guard Notables
Russell Westbrook DK $11.2k | FD $9.9k vs. Minnesota
Still decently priced on FD
Got to play the birthday angle 🎂 as Brodie turns 33 today
T'Wolves run #3 pace in NBA, have 23rd ranked scoring defense
+4% usage, +12.53 fp with James and Rajon Rondo out
Dejounte Murray DK $9.4k | FD $9.5k vs. Dallas
Averaging 23/9.5/8 in two games vs. Mavericks this season
52fp in both games vs. Dallas
Mavs have allowed 34+ fp to 4 of past 5 PGs
40fp floor in 7 of the last 8 overall
Will Barton DK $6.9k | FD $6.7k vs. Atlanta
Still priced under $7k despite 6X 3 of the last 4
19+ shots in 3 of the last 4
Atlanta has allowed higher than average to 3 of the last 4 SGs
Josh Giddey DK $6.4k | FD $6k vs. Sacramento
Pushing 6X this price in 5 of the last 8
Kings are 5th worst in opponent points/game
Jalen Brunson DK $5.9k | FD $5.7k at San Antonio
Averaging 25 real points in two games vs. Spurs this season
Has 37 and 53 fp vs. San Antonio (one start)
Tonight's SF / PF Notables
Jayson Tatum DK $10.1k | FD $9.6k vs. Milwaukee
Good cash play as 50fp seems like the floor here
57fp and 52 fp in two games without Jaylen Brown
Took 24 shots on Wednesday
50fp floor in two of three games vs. Bucks last season
Anthony Edwards DK $8.1| FD $8.1k at Lakers
Coming off 66 fp vs. Golden State on Wednesday
19+ shots in every game this season
Lakers allow 3rd most ppg this season
DeMar DeRozan DK $8.5k | FD $8.7k @Golden State
Playing the Vucevic (COVID) bump, +10.52% usage, +21.95 fp
Ownership should stay lower vs. Golden State's #1 defense
GSW just allowed 66fp to Anthony Edwards at the SF spot
Jaren Jackson, Jr. DK $6.2k | FD $6.5k vs. Phoenix
Suns missing Deandre Ayton in the front court
32fp floor last four games
30fp floor in last three games vs. Suns
Josh Richardson DK $3.3k | FD $4.8k vs. Milwaukee
Great DK pricing after 31 and 33 minutes last two games
Minutes boost moving forward with Jaylen Brown out
Milwaukee 6th in pace
Tonight's Center Position Notables
Jarrett Allen DK $7.8k | FD $7.7k vs. Detroit
Just a $300 increase from 39 fp Wednesday
6X in 3 of the last 5
Detroit 20th in opponent rebounds/game
Bobby Portis DK $6k | FD $5.8k @ Boston
Lower ownership following 24fp Wednesday
24fp came on 2nd leg of back to back
44+fp in two of the last three
Antetokounmpo (ankle) GTD
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You can follow me, Carl Taylor (@dailydogsports), on Twitter for more daily fantasy and sports betting talk and make sure to check out the LineStar chat.
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