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Top NBA Plays Friday November 5th| (Jrue) Holiday Weekend
It's looking like the Bucks are getting some reinforcements in their big matchup against the Knicks tonight as Jrue Holiday is set to return from an ankle injury. Milwaukee is still missing Khris Middleton (Health and Safety) and Brook Lopez (back) however.
Otherwise, there doesn't look to be a ton of major news on the injury front, unlike last night where "injury report makers" had Rudy G as out for the Jazz - only they meant Gay and not Gobert as listed. D'Angelo Russell is out for the Timberwolves for their rematch against the Clippers though.
Brandon Ingram, LaMelo Ball, and Malcolm Brogdon are all big name GTDs for tonight but there's a better chance than not that they play (do keep an eye on Ingram though).
Tonight's Key NBA Matchups
Nets (-10) @ Pistons, O/U 211 7:00 PM ET
Do Brooklyn starters lose their value tonight just because Detroit is so historically bad offensively and this one could turn into a blowout? It wouldn't be a leap to see the Nets preserve some minutes in the opener of a six game road swing.
The Pistons are shooting 39.5% as a team — as it currently stands, that mark is the lowest by a team in the last 60 seasons.
They also currently have the 12th worst offense since the three-point era (1980).
— StatMuse (@statmuse)
2:59 PM • Nov 5, 2021
Grizzlies @ Wizards (-2), O/U 221 7:00 PM ET
Nice target game here as Washington leads the NBA in pace and Memphis runs the 8th fastest tempo. Ja Morant ($9.4k) vs. Bradley Beal ($9.5k) is a tough one to call.
Knicks @ Bucks (-4), O/U 217 7:30 PM ET
At the very least this game should be close, meaning the big dogs will be on the floor. In Milwaukee's case, Giannis Antetokounmpo has to be on the floor because Khris Middleton (COVID) and Brook Lopez (back) remain out. The Bucks have been off since Tuesday, which looks like a long enough rest to get Jrue Holiday (ankle) back for at least a few minutes.
Clippers (-2.5) @ Timberwolves , O/U 216.5 8:00 PM ET
This is a rematch of Wednesday's game that the Clippers dominated 126-115 behind a 54fp night from Paul George. LAC shot 60% from the field and 58% from beyond the arc in that game and Minnesota was still within 5 points late in the 4th quarter. This could be a good bounce back game for the Wolves, who got 47fp from Anthony Edwards in game one.
Pelicans @ Warriors (-9.5) O/U 214 10:00 PM ET
The Warriors are playing angry right now with 21-point win over the Thunder and beating Charlotte by 22 over their last two games. That's great to help you rise up the NBA power rankings, but blowouts make things tough for DFS as Steph Curry has a season low 39 and 42 fp over those wins.
"It is official, I'm picking the Golden State Warriors to win the championship."
—@stephenasmith
— First Take (@FirstTake)
3:31 PM • Nov 5, 2021
Hornets @ Kings (-2) O/U 231 10:00 PM ET
On paper, this looks like it will be a fun one and the 231 point betting total would seem to confirm that. Charlotte is the #1 scoring team in the NBA but will want to bounce back from a season low 92 points last time out in a blowout loss at Golden State.
Tonight's Point Guard / Shooting Guard Notables
Damian Lillard DK $9.9k | FD $8.5k vs. Indiana
Many people calling this the "Damian Lillard ultimatum game"
If he doesn't perform, fade until a significant price drop
Has failed to break 50fp this season
At home vs. Indiana's #2 tempo, and #20 defensive efficiency
Dejounte Murray DK $9.1k | FD $9.1k @ Magic
One of the surest things for cash games with 50fp floor in 4 of the last 5
17+ shots in 4 of last 5
Orlando is surprisingly #1 defensively vs. PGs which should keep ownership down
Caris LeVert DK $6.8k | FD $7k @Portland
Minutes progressing towards normal (31 last time out)
Hit 40fp vs. Knicks on Wednesday
19 and 18 shots last two games, leads NBA in usage (34.9%)
Portland allowing 115 ppg last three (2nd most over that span)
Tyrese Haliburton DK $6.1k | FD $7k vs. Charlotte
Coming off season high 48fp vs. Pelicans
Highest betting total game of the night (231)
Charlotte has given up 32 fp to Collin Sexton and 47 to Jordan Poole last 2 at SG position, rank 30th vs. SG over last 5 games
Jordan Poole DK $5.8k | FD $6k vs. New Orleans
Why not at that price point and coming off 47fp vs. Charlotte
New Orleans has allowed 30+ fp to four straight SGs, including 48 to Tyrese Haliburton on Wednesday
Pelicans allowing 115.7 ppg last three - most in the NBA
Tonight's SF / PF Notables
Domantas Sabonis DK $9.3k | FD $9.4k @ Portland
Lot of mouths to feed on Pacers now, but he's hit for the perfect lineup in three straight vs. Portland (team his dad played with for 7 seasons)
Indiana #2 in possessions/game, Portland #24 in defensive efficiency
Has hit 50+ fp in 2 of the last 3
Miles Bridges DK $8.2k | FD $8.4k @Sacramento
Cash cow right now with a 39fp floor over his last 8 games
32 and 15fp vs. Sacramento last season to keep ownership down
Kings have a 22 fp ceiling vs. 4 of last 5 PF to keep ownership down
Highest betting total of the night
Wendell Carter, Jr. DK $6.4k | FD $6.4k vs. San Antonio
Keeps producing with no real major price jump
Has 38 fp floor in 4 of last 5, the only one to miss was on a back to back
12+ rebounds in 3 of last 4, Spurs 19th in opponent rebounds/game
Jaren Jackson, Jr. DK $5.6k | FD $6.3k @Washington
Coming off 42fp in 30 mins last time out against Denver
Washington giving up 40+ fp to PF starters
Wizards have allowed 34+ fp (6X this price) to five straight PF starters
Tonight's Center Position Notables
Jarrett Allen DK $6.6k | FD $7.5k @ Toronto
Ride the hot streak as DK pricing stays under $7k
56fp in each of the last two games paced by 16.5 rpg
Toronto allowing 3rd fewest rebounds to opponents
Mo Bamba also had 18 rebound game vs. Raptors last week
Will read anything you want to post about Jarrett Allen realizing his monster potential. cleveland.com/cavs/2021/11/j…
— Kevin (@KevinGPrice)
4:47 PM • Nov 5, 2021
Bobby Portis DK $4.7k | FD $4.7k vs. New York
Spent one season with the Knicks, who didn't pick up his option after 19/20.
Had 33fp and 18fp vs. New York last season, both blowout games (1-1)
Minutes have increased in all three games he's played (15, 19, 22)
Brook Lopez still out for Milwaukee
15 and 13 shots last two games while grabbing 5+ rebounds in both
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You can follow me, Carl Taylor (@dailydogsports), on Twitter for more daily fantasy and sports betting talk and make sure to check out the LineStar chat.
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