One of the best ways we can luck into DFS success is attacking a game that looks like it will be close and possibly go into OT. We've got a few of those on the slate tonight even in games that might not look like they're going to be offensive shows.

The Knicks visit the Sixers in a game with a 1-point spread, the Bulls are -1.5 favorites over the Nets, and the Heat are -1.5 at the Nuggets in games largely featuring good defenses but are expected to be tight.

The Timberwolves at the Grizzlies (-6) and the Pelicans at the Mavericks (-8.5) are the two games on this 8-game slate that have a spread higher than 3-points so it's looking like a nice tight night of close basketball. Let's get after it.

Tonight's Key NBA Matchups

Knicks @ 76ers (-1), O/U 213.5 7:00 PM ET

The 76ers have almost somewhat quietly built a six-game win streak with a great chance of pushing it to 7 as the Knicks play on the back to back. New York lost 126-109 on Sunday at home against Cleveland, their third loss in the last four games.

Note: Joel Embiid (rest) is out tonight

Nets @ Bulls (-1.5), O/U 216.5 8:00 PM ET

Brooklyn is coming into their own with five straight wins but are still +1.5 underdogs in Monday's visit to the United Center. The Nets are in the back to back after a 116-103 win over Toronto with Kevin Durant and James Harden both logging 37+ minutes.

Timberwolves @ Grizzlies (-6), O/U 217.5 8:00 PM ET

This would be a good game to target with Minnesota running the #3 pace and Memphis #8. The T'Wolves are in perpetual blowout mode though as they've lost by 18, 11, and 20 points in the last three of their four game losing streak.

Heat (-1.5) @ Nuggets , O/U 205 9:00 PM ET

Good contrarian target game here? Miami is 3rd in defensive efficiency but Denver is almost surprisingly second in that category. Supremely low betting total at 205.

Hawks @ Warriors (-3.5) O/U 222 10:00 PM ET

Does Steph Curry ($10.5k) lose any value being on the back to back, even though last night's 120-107 win over Houston was pretty easy? Does Curry just lose value since he's been held to 42fp or less in five of the last six?

Suns (-2.5) @ Kings O/U 226 10:00 PM ET

226 point betting total looks nice, and the Suns should have some value playing a Kings team coming off a 94-91 loss to the Pacers last night. Phoenix has rattled off four straight wins, and has gone for 120+ the last two.

Hornets @ Lakers (-1.5) O/U 227 10:30 PM ET

L.A is just a -1.5 favorite tonight which comes with Lebron James out (abdominal) and Anthony Davis leaving the last game after a stomach illness and being probable. The Hornets are getting beat up on their West Coast road trip though with a 22 point loss to Golden State, losing by 30 to the Kings, and being on a back to back after a 14-point loss to the Clippers last night.

Tonight's Point Guard / Shooting Guard Notables

Luka Doncic DK $10.7k | FD $10.2k vs. New Orleans

• We're still waiting on the Luka breakout game as he has a 54 fp ceiling over the last six games

• Pelicans contest is a possible blowout (DAL -8.5) which could drop ownership a bit

• Doncic has hit for 50+ fp in five of the last seven vs. New Orleans.

LaMelo Ball DK $9k | FD $8.7k @ Lakers

• Loves the allure of the Staples Center and the L.A crowd

• Five straight perfect lineups

• Back to back should drive ownership down

• PGs have hit 37+ fp in four of the last five vs. the Lakers

Kyle Lowry DK $7.9k | FD $6.2k @Denver

• Great FD pricing coming off his first triple-double of the season

• 58fp Saturday against good Jazz defense

• PG Morris questionable for Nuggets, Denver 10th vs. PG which keeps ownership low

Buddy Hield DK $6k | FD $6k vs. Phoenix

• 6X last two vs. Phoenix (43, 36 fp)

• Close to 6X in five of last seven overall

• Suns 29th defensively vs. reserves, Kings 11th highest in pace

Seth Curry DK $5.8k | FD $5.2k vs. Knicks

• 16fp on Saturday vs. Bulls should keep ownership down

• Knicks giving up 32+ fp to opposing SGs

• +11.12% usage, +22.55 fp with Embiid and Harris out

Tonight's SF / PF Notables

DeMar DeRozan DK $8.2k | FD $8.5k vs. Brooklyn

• 41fp floor in 6 of the last 7 games

• Close game expected with Bulls -1.5 favorites

• Nets on a back to back

• 15+ shots in every game this season

Jaren Jackson, Jr. DK $5.8k | FD $6.3k vs. Minnesota

• LineStar chat user @mynameesjeff dubbed him Jaren "Hackson" but had 0 fouls last game

• 37fp average last two games

• Has been off since Friday, and played just 25 minutes in that game which was a Washington 115-87 win

• Minnesota #3 pace in the league

Carmelo Anthony DK $5.7k | FD $6.3k vs. Charlotte

• Melo vs. Melo game against LaMelo and Charlotte

• Averaged 43.25 fppg vs. Hornets last two

• James out, Davis questionable for usage bump

• Hornets #30 in ppg allowed (117.6)

Tonight's Center Position Notables

Jonas Valanciunas DK $8.5k | FD $8.5k @ Dallas

• Dallas #25 vs. opposing C's

• 49fp floor in 5 of the last 8 games

• Dallas 22nd in opponent rebounds/game

Andre Drummond DK $5.7k | FD $5.5k vs. New York

• Must play when Embiid sits, 57 fp vs. Portland last Monday

• Knicks on back to back, gave up 17 rebounds to Jarrett Allen on Sunday

• New York has allowed 43+ fp to four of the past five C's

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You can follow me, Carl Taylor (@dailydogsports), on Twitter for more daily fantasy and sports betting talk and make sure to check out the LineStar chat.

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