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- Top NBA Plays Wednesday Oct. 27th| Everybody on Memphis @ Portland?
Top NBA Plays Wednesday Oct. 27th| Everybody on Memphis @ Portland?
We've got a big 10-game slate for NBA DFS Wednesday headlined by the Portland at Memphis matchup that everybody seems to be targeting. As William Shake(and bake)speare once wrote "to fade or not to fade" because although it's a big slate, six of the games also have a betting total of 220 or less.
Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10.8k) and Kevin Durant ($10.5) headline tonight as the price still doesn't drop for James Harden ($10k) who has been held under 40fp the last two games. Let's see what we've got.
Tonight's Key NBA Matchups
Hornets (-5.5) @ Magic, O/U 220 7:00 PM ET
The spread doesn't indicate the blowout game by Charlotte you might expect and the Hornets are a target with Terry Rozier (ankle) and PJ Washington (knee) out.
Wizards @ Celtics (-4), O/U 224 7:30 PM ET
An interesting matchup with the Celtics starting off the season as the worst defense vs. position against shooting guards (Bradley Beal), but Washington also getting owned in the post with their small ball lineup (Al Horford, Robert Williams).
Pacers (-1) @ Raptors , O/U 215 7:30 PM ET
The betting total is the lowest of the night but could this be a sneaky target game just because it's expected to be so close? Caris LeVert (back) has returned to practice and is "ready to go" so watch that Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis exposure.
Kings @ Bucks (-6.5) , O/U 230.5 8:00 PM ET
Nice betting total and a matchup of two top 15 teams in pace and bottom 7 in possessions per game. Milwaukee still dealing with the injuries to Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, and Donte DiVincenzo but Bobby Portis has been upgraded to probable.
Bucks should have Portis and Semi back tonight. Holiday and Lopez remain out.
#Timberwolves
— Evan Porter (@EvanPorterNBA)
5:21 PM • Oct 27, 2021
Lakers (-6) @ Thunder, O/U 217 8:00 PM ET
The betting total is not ideal but possibly some value with both teams playing on the back to back. The Lakers needed OT to get a 125-121 win over the Spurs as Lebron James sat (questionable - ankle). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has had a couple of good games in a row (52, 41 fp) but logged 36 minutes last night vs. Golden State.
Tonight's Point Guard / Shooting Guard Notables
Ja Morant DK $9.6k | FD $9.5k @Portland
Has a 46fp floor in 4 of the last 5 vs. Blazers
Has taken 19+ shots in all three games this season
#3 in usage in NBA (33.6%)
Portland #5 in pace
Bradley Beal DK $9.2k | FD $8.7k @Boston
Likes the Boston matchup with a 53.25 average in 4 games last year
Celtics 30th dVp with a floor of 34 fp vs. SGs this season
NBA usage leader (34%)
Fred VanVleet DK $7.8k | FD $7.7k vs. Indiana
Close game expected with 1-point spread
37+ minutes last three games
17 assists vs. Bulls on Monday
Indiana #3 pace through the first week
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander DK $7.1k | FD $7.1k vs. Lakers
Lower ownership on back to back
$1k price drop
Averaging 6X this price last two
Lakers giving up 50+ to all four PGs they've faced this year
Devonte' Graham DK $5.7k | FD $5.8k vs. Atlanta
Solid price for 14+ fga last three games
Two of three PGs have taken 15+ shots vs. Atlanta this season
Projected for 6X (34.88 fp)
De' Anthony Melton DK $5k | FD $5.5k @Portland
Highest betting total of the night (234)
2+ days of rest
Averaging 14 fga last three games
Davion Mithell DK $4.2k | FD $3.8k @Phoenix
Rookie coming into his own with 32 minutes last two games
Career high 16 fga last time out
Minutes should be there as Kings +8 point underdogs
Davion Mitchell guarded two of the NBA’s best guards in back-to-back games.
Dame: 8-24 FG, 0-9 3P
Spida: 9-25 FG, 5 TOVOff night.
— StatMuse (@statmuse)
4:31 AM • Oct 23, 2021
Tonight's SF / PF Notables
Brandon Ingram DK $8.5k | FD $8.2k vs. Atlanta
First time back at home after three road tilts
20+ shots in all four games this season
Atlanta has allowed 34 fp to Lauri Markkanen and 39 to Saddiq Bey last two vs. SF position
Anthony Edwards DK $7.7k | FD $8k @Milwaukee
Consistent cash play with 43fp floor through three games
#9 vs. #11 in pace matchup
21+ field goal attempts each game this season
Kelly Oubre, Jr. DK $5.7k | FD $5.7k @Orlando
Orlando 4th worst in defensive efficiency
36fp floor last three vs. Magic
Averaging 14.5 fga per game this season
Tonight's Center Position Notables
Karl-Anthony Towns DK $10.1k | FD $10.9k @Denver
Bucks 13th vs. C's this season but traditionally bad vs. bigs
Lopez remains out for Milwaukee
Towns took 24 shots and had 14 rebounds last time out vs. New Orleans
Jonas Valanciunas DK $8.2k | FD $7.5k vs. Atlanta
33+ minutes last three games
Averaging 20 rebounds/game last two
18+ fga in two of four games this season
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You can follow me, Carl Taylor (@dailydogsports), on Twitter for more daily fantasy and sports betting talk and make sure to check out the LineStar chat.
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